Transparent historical data

What Happens to Solana When Bitcoin Rises 10% in a Day?

Solana has recorded 1 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -2.90% and 0.0% of outcomes finished higher.

Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →

Outcome summary

Horizon90 days

Sample1

Median return+1.67%

Average return+1.67%

Positive outcomes100.0%

Best / worst+1.67% / +1.67%

Distribution of 90-day outcomes

Not enough completed data yet for a distribution chart.

All forward horizons

Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.

Horizon	Sample	Median	Average	Positive	Best	Worst
1 days	1	0.65%	0.65%	100.0%	0.65%	0.65%
3 days	1	-0.20%	-0.20%	0.0%	-0.20%	-0.20%
7 days	1	-2.90%	-2.90%	0.0%	-2.90%	-2.90%
14 days	1	-2.51%	-2.51%	0.0%	-2.51%	-2.51%
30 days	1	-5.86%	-5.86%	0.0%	-5.86%	-5.86%
90 days	1	1.67%	1.67%	100.0%	1.67%	1.67%

Historical occurrences

1 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.

Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.

Date	Trigger	Price	1d	3d	7d	14d	30d	90d
2026-02-07	11.94	$86.98	+0.65%	-0.20%	-2.90%	-2.51%	-5.86%	+1.67%

Best 7-day cases

2026-02-07: -2.90%

Worst 7-day cases

2026-02-07: -2.90%

How this study works

An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 1 day(s) rises to or above 10%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.

Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.

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