Transparent historical data
What Happens to Rain After a New 30-Day High?
Rain has recorded 12 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -1.86% and 33.3% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 14-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -28.4% to -13.2% | 1 |
| -13.2% to +2.0% | 5 |
| +2.0% to +17.2% | 4 |
| +17.2% to +32.3% | 0 |
| +32.3% to +47.5% | 0 |
| +47.5% to +62.7% | 0 |
| +62.7% to +77.9% | 1 |
| +77.9% to +93.0% | 0 |
| +93.0% to +108.2% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 12 | -1.40% | 1.78% | 16.7% | 43.77% | -6.68% |
| 3 days | 12 | -1.93% | 12.96% | 16.7% | 121.98% | -14.51% |
| 7 days | 12 | -1.86% | 12.01% | 33.3% | 97.04% | -20.08% |
| 14 days | 12 | 0.49% | 11.32% | 50.0% | 108.21% | -28.36% |
| 30 days | 11 | -3.09% | 15.77% | 36.4% | 111.26% | -24.75% |
| 90 days | 10 | -1.25% | 26.23% | 50.0% | 171.52% | -28.74% |
Historical occurrences
12 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | 4.99 | $0.02 | -6.56% | -1.33% | +17.65% | +10.18% | — | — |
| 2026-06-23 | 9.77 | $0.02 | -2.21% | -1.62% | -0.36% | -5.78% | -10.47% | — |
| 2026-06-18 | 0.58 | $0.01 | -0.54% | -0.97% | +8.76% | +6.47% | -3.09% | -3.75% |
| 2026-05-26 | 2.56 | $0.01 | +43.77% | +77.26% | +67.96% | +64.98% | +97.21% | +74.22% |
| 2026-02-10 | 1.69 | $0.01 | -2.03% | -4.14% | -6.05% | -9.68% | -13.33% | -26.02% |
| 2026-01-23 | 3.66 | $0.01 | -1.41% | -5.53% | -5.87% | -13.15% | -6.37% | -23.74% |
| 2026-01-15 | 4.01 | $0.01 | +1.92% | -1.39% | -5.84% | +4.26% | +4.94% | -19.05% |
| 2026-01-07 | 12.06 | $0.01 | -1.49% | -8.54% | -1.85% | -7.88% | -4.57% | -28.74% |
| 2025-12-28 | 0.46 | $0.01 | -1.08% | -2.24% | -1.88% | +9.92% | +23.75% | +1.25% |
| 2025-12-02 | 1.45 | $0.01 | -1.39% | -3.43% | -5.37% | -3.27% | -1.11% | +12.55% |
| 2025-11-22 | 1.69 | $0.00 | -0.99% | +121.98% | +97.04% | +108.21% | +111.26% | +171.52% |
| 2025-10-13 | 2.03 | $0.00 | -6.68% | -14.51% | -20.08% | -28.36% | -24.75% | +104.09% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-11-22: +97.04%
- 2026-05-26: +67.96%
- 2026-08-22: +17.65%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-10-13: -20.08%
- 2026-02-10: -6.05%
- 2026-01-23: -5.87%
How this study works
The daily reference price must exceed every earlier price in the prior 30 days; nearby highs are grouped.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.