Transparent historical data
What Happens to Rain After an All-Time High?
Rain has recorded 9 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -1.88% and 33.3% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 7-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -20.1% to -15.7% | 1 |
| -15.7% to -11.3% | 0 |
| -11.3% to -6.9% | 1 |
| -6.9% to -2.5% | 2 |
| -2.5% to +1.8% | 3 |
| +1.8% to +6.2% | 0 |
| +6.2% to +10.6% | 1 |
| +10.6% to +15.0% | 0 |
| +15.0% to +19.4% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 9 | -1.49% | 1.08% | 22.2% | 25.39% | -6.68% |
| 3 days | 9 | -2.47% | -1.45% | 22.2% | 25.11% | -14.51% |
| 7 days | 9 | -1.88% | -1.19% | 33.3% | 19.37% | -20.08% |
| 14 days | 9 | -4.00% | -3.25% | 44.4% | 9.92% | -28.36% |
| 30 days | 8 | -3.57% | 1.36% | 37.5% | 36.19% | -24.75% |
| 90 days | 8 | 9.19% | 24.45% | 62.5% | 104.09% | -28.74% |
Historical occurrences
9 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | 13.39 | $0.02 | -3.50% | -2.47% | -6.97% | -10.84% | — | — |
| 2026-06-18 | 0.58 | $0.01 | -0.54% | -0.97% | +8.76% | +6.47% | -3.09% | -3.75% |
| 2026-05-27 | 12.15 | $0.01 | +25.39% | +25.11% | +19.37% | +9.41% | +36.19% | +28.39% |
| 2026-02-10 | 1.69 | $0.01 | -2.03% | -4.14% | -6.05% | -9.68% | -13.33% | -26.02% |
| 2026-01-07 | 12.06 | $0.01 | -1.49% | -8.54% | -1.85% | -7.88% | -4.57% | -28.74% |
| 2025-12-28 | 0.46 | $0.01 | -1.08% | -2.24% | -1.88% | +9.92% | +23.75% | +1.25% |
| 2025-11-25 | 81.00 | $0.01 | -2.91% | -9.94% | +1.45% | -4.00% | +0.75% | +17.14% |
| 2025-10-13 | 2.03 | $0.00 | -6.68% | -14.51% | -20.08% | -28.36% | -24.75% | +104.09% |
| 2025-09-20 | 29.63 | $0.00 | +2.53% | +4.66% | -3.51% | +5.69% | -4.06% | +103.22% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-05-27: +19.37%
- 2026-06-18: +8.76%
- 2025-11-25: +1.45%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-10-13: -20.08%
- 2026-08-26: -6.97%
- 2026-02-10: -6.05%
How this study works
The daily reference price must exceed every earlier price in the full history; nearby highs are grouped.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.