Transparent historical data
What Happens to Monero After a New 30-Day High?
Monero has recorded 15 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 0.08% and 53.3% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 14-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -19.9% to -15.3% | 1 |
| -15.3% to -10.8% | 1 |
| -10.8% to -6.2% | 2 |
| -6.2% to -1.7% | 3 |
| -1.7% to +2.9% | 1 |
| +2.9% to +7.4% | 2 |
| +7.4% to +12.0% | 1 |
| +12.0% to +16.5% | 1 |
| +16.5% to +21.1% | 2 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 15 | -1.19% | 0.02% | 33.3% | 13.29% | -6.90% |
| 3 days | 15 | -2.81% | 0.90% | 40.0% | 27.29% | -10.01% |
| 7 days | 15 | 0.08% | -0.76% | 53.3% | 8.45% | -16.99% |
| 14 days | 14 | -1.39% | 1.12% | 42.9% | 21.10% | -19.89% |
| 30 days | 14 | 1.12% | 3.06% | 57.1% | 38.65% | -37.53% |
| 90 days | 12 | -7.08% | -5.52% | 25.0% | 41.55% | -38.91% |
Historical occurrences
15 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | 6.73 | $555.67 | -2.93% | -10.01% | -3.06% | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-03 | 0.00 | $364.13 | -0.59% | +0.55% | +8.33% | +12.56% | +38.65% | — |
| 2026-07-19 | 0.19 | $335.74 | +0.15% | +6.42% | +8.45% | +8.36% | +23.71% | — |
| 2026-05-12 | 0.36 | $416.28 | -1.19% | -4.92% | -8.10% | -7.34% | -19.57% | -5.24% |
| 2026-05-04 | 0.08 | $391.75 | +3.73% | +5.88% | +4.52% | -0.55% | -16.86% | -7.13% |
| 2026-04-27 | 1.51 | $391.42 | -2.92% | -3.90% | +0.08% | +4.60% | -2.96% | -6.97% |
| 2026-04-22 | 8.18 | $385.59 | -4.86% | -4.51% | -2.01% | +6.85% | +1.76% | -12.53% |
| 2026-03-17 | 2.41 | $366.73 | -2.10% | -8.12% | -5.20% | -12.45% | -5.97% | -7.03% |
| 2026-01-12 | 16.48 | $554.30 | +13.29% | +27.29% | +1.31% | -19.89% | -37.53% | -38.91% |
| 2025-12-20 | 0.98 | $441.18 | +7.86% | +5.06% | +0.81% | -3.60% | +27.28% | -23.62% |
| 2025-12-01 | 3.52 | $436.92 | -6.90% | -6.52% | -16.99% | -6.35% | +0.48% | -23.62% |
| 2025-11-16 | 1.12 | $422.04 | -3.80% | -4.42% | -12.45% | -2.22% | -2.93% | -17.78% |
| 2025-11-07 | 3.09 | $359.26 | +2.59% | +16.17% | +7.43% | -5.57% | +9.26% | +4.82% |
| 2025-11-02 | 0.38 | $348.50 | -0.39% | -2.81% | +5.42% | +21.10% | +16.72% | +30.23% |
| 2025-10-27 | 1.52 | $347.18 | -1.67% | -2.64% | -0.01% | +20.22% | +10.79% | +41.55% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-07-19: +8.45%
- 2026-08-03: +8.33%
- 2025-11-07: +7.43%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-12-01: -16.99%
- 2025-11-16: -12.45%
- 2026-05-12: -8.10%
How this study works
The daily reference price must exceed every earlier price in the prior 30 days; nearby highs are grouped.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.