Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a New 30-Day High
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a new 30-day high, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Monero
15 historical signal(s) detected for Monero; 13 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (2 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 | 2025-11-03 | $347.1826 | $347.1538 | -0.01% | 99.99 |
| 2025-11-07 | 2025-11-14 | $359.2601 | $385.9587 | +7.43% | 107.42 |
| 2025-11-16 | 2025-11-23 | $422.0421 | $369.5156 | -12.45% | 94.05 |
| 2025-12-01 | 2025-12-08 | $436.9172 | $362.6838 | -16.99% | 78.07 |
| 2025-12-20 | 2025-12-27 | $441.1812 | $444.7364 | +0.81% | 78.70 |
| 2026-01-12 | 2026-01-19 | $554.3023 | $561.5478 | +1.31% | 79.73 |
| 2026-03-17 | 2026-03-24 | $366.7275 | $347.6719 | -5.20% | 75.59 |
| 2026-04-22 | 2026-04-29 | $385.5851 | $377.8493 | -2.01% | 74.07 |
| 2026-05-04 | 2026-05-11 | $391.7523 | $409.4460 | +4.52% | 77.42 |
| 2026-05-12 | 2026-05-19 | $416.2757 | $382.5622 | -8.10% | 71.15 |
| 2026-07-19 | 2026-07-26 | $335.7430 | $364.1238 | +8.45% | 77.16 |
| 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-10 | $364.1313 | $394.4625 | +8.33% | 83.59 |
| 2026-09-06 | 2026-09-13 | $555.6685 | $538.6832 | -3.06% | 81.03 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.