Transparent historical data
What Happens to Monero After Funding Rises to +0.01%?
Monero has recorded 4 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -5.26% and 25.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Binance USDⓈ-M Futures and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 30-day outcomes
Not enough completed data yet for a distribution chart.
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 4 | -3.53% | -3.05% | 25.0% | 1.56% | -6.69% |
| 3 days | 4 | -5.92% | -5.48% | 25.0% | 3.25% | -13.33% |
| 7 days | 4 | -5.26% | -7.21% | 25.0% | 4.08% | -22.40% |
| 14 days | 4 | -2.67% | -1.99% | 50.0% | 8.26% | -10.89% |
| 30 days | 4 | -0.73% | -3.21% | 50.0% | 10.44% | -21.83% |
| 90 days | 4 | -0.12% | 2.66% | 50.0% | 28.15% | -17.29% |
Historical occurrences
4 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | 0.01 | $396.79 | -6.69% | -13.33% | -22.40% | -10.89% | -21.83% | +14.62% |
| 2025-12-11 | 0.01 | $401.29 | +1.56% | +3.25% | +4.08% | +8.26% | +10.44% | -14.85% |
| 2025-12-04 | 0.01 | $408.45 | -1.40% | -3.89% | -1.75% | +2.26% | +4.13% | -17.29% |
| 2025-09-17 | 0.01 | $319.66 | -5.67% | -7.95% | -8.76% | -7.60% | -5.58% | +28.15% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-12-11: +4.08%
- 2025-12-04: -1.75%
- 2025-09-17: -8.76%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-05-30: -22.40%
- 2025-09-17: -8.76%
- 2025-12-04: -1.75%
How this study works
Each Binance funding rate is normalized to an eight-hour equivalent. An episode begins when that rate is at or above 0.01%. Consecutive qualifying funding intervals are grouped, and returns begin from the exact UTC date of the first qualifying interval.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.