Transparent historical data
What Happens to Monero After an All-Time High?
Monero has recorded 6 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 1.06% and 66.7% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 14-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -19.9% to -15.4% | 1 |
| -15.4% to -11.0% | 0 |
| -11.0% to -6.5% | 1 |
| -6.5% to -2.1% | 2 |
| -2.1% to +2.4% | 0 |
| +2.4% to +6.8% | 1 |
| +6.8% to +11.3% | 0 |
| +11.3% to +15.8% | 0 |
| +15.8% to +20.2% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
6 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | 16.48 | $554.30 | +13.29% | +27.29% | +1.31% | -19.89% | -37.53% | -38.91% |
| 2025-12-20 | 0.98 | $441.18 | +7.86% | +5.06% | +0.81% | -3.60% | +27.28% | -23.62% |
| 2025-12-01 | 3.52 | $436.92 | -6.90% | -6.52% | -16.99% | -6.35% | +0.48% | -23.62% |
| 2025-10-27 | 1.52 | $347.18 | -1.67% | -2.64% | -0.01% | +20.22% | +10.79% | +41.55% |
| 2025-10-03 | 4.28 | $333.34 | -2.84% | -3.46% | +2.59% | -9.45% | +4.55% | +30.01% |
| 2025-09-12 | 0.56 | $270.66 | +5.01% | +13.27% | +10.58% | +6.82% | +10.38% | +48.26% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-09-12: +10.58%
- 2025-10-03: +2.59%
- 2026-01-12: +1.31%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-12-01: -16.99%
- 2025-10-27: -0.01%
- 2025-12-20: +0.81%
How this study works
The daily reference price must exceed every earlier price in the full history; nearby highs are grouped.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.