Transparent historical data
What Happens to Monero After 3 Consecutive Negative Funding Intervals?
Monero has recorded 4 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 8.07% and 75.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Binance USDⓈ-M Futures and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 7-day outcomes
Not enough completed data yet for a distribution chart.
All forward horizons
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Historical occurrences
4 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | -0.02 | $358.07 | +1.61% | +1.09% | +5.70% | +11.64% | +35.97% | — |
| 2025-12-10 | -0.07 | $388.22 | +3.37% | +4.33% | +10.45% | +15.42% | +16.49% | -13.19% |
| 2025-12-03 | -0.01 | $398.33 | +2.54% | +0.26% | -2.54% | +7.65% | +5.77% | -15.09% |
| 2025-11-23 | -0.03 | $369.52 | +5.48% | +4.09% | +11.68% | +6.23% | +25.43% | -12.84% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-11-23: +11.68%
- 2025-12-10: +10.45%
- 2026-08-01: +5.70%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-12-03: -2.54%
- 2026-08-01: +5.70%
- 2025-12-10: +10.45%
How this study works
An occurrence is recorded at the 3rd consecutive negative funding interval. A longer uninterrupted run remains one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.