Transparent historical data
What Happens to Monero After a 20% 30-Day Correction?
Monero has recorded 4 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 9.65% and 100.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 1-day outcomes
Not enough completed data yet for a distribution chart.
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
4 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | -21.83 | $310.19 | +1.61% | -0.31% | +5.53% | +4.38% | +10.16% | — |
| 2026-06-20 | -22.09 | $314.77 | +1.92% | +0.88% | +1.88% | +2.96% | +6.82% | — |
| 2026-06-06 | -25.76 | $307.92 | -3.90% | +2.16% | +14.83% | +2.22% | +6.30% | +69.01% |
| 2026-02-06 | -33.86 | $292.32 | +8.50% | +8.24% | +13.77% | +14.39% | +16.13% | +41.90% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-06-06: +14.83%
- 2026-02-06: +13.77%
- 2026-06-29: +5.53%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-06-20: +1.88%
- 2026-06-29: +5.53%
- 2026-02-06: +13.77%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 30 day(s) falls to or below -20%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.