Transparent historical data
What Happens to Monero After a 30% 30-Day Correction?
Monero has recorded 2 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 3.67% and 50.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 7-day outcomes
Not enough completed data yet for a distribution chart.
All forward horizons
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Historical occurrences
2 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-11 | -37.53 | $346.28 | -2.12% | +0.21% | -6.44% | -8.00% | -1.58% | +20.21% |
| 2026-02-06 | -33.86 | $292.32 | +8.50% | +8.24% | +13.77% | +14.39% | +16.13% | +41.90% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-02-06: +13.77%
- 2026-02-11: -6.44%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-02-11: -6.44%
- 2026-02-06: +13.77%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 30 day(s) falls to or below -30%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.