Transparent historical data
What Happens to Monero After a 15% 30-Day Correction?
Monero has recorded 7 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 5.53% and 71.4% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 30-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -2.6% to +0.3% | 1 |
| +0.3% to +3.1% | 0 |
| +3.1% to +6.0% | 1 |
| +6.0% to +8.8% | 1 |
| +8.8% to +11.6% | 1 |
| +11.6% to +14.5% | 0 |
| +14.5% to +17.3% | 1 |
| +17.3% to +20.2% | 1 |
| +20.2% to +23.0% | 1 |
All forward horizons
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Historical occurrences
7 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | -16.66 | $322.70 | +0.33% | +2.54% | +4.04% | +12.84% | +23.01% | — |
| 2026-07-01 | -17.38 | $303.51 | +1.88% | +6.78% | +10.41% | +9.02% | +18.64% | — |
| 2026-06-29 | -21.83 | $310.19 | +1.61% | -0.31% | +5.53% | +4.38% | +10.16% | — |
| 2026-06-19 | -19.87 | $319.06 | -1.34% | +0.39% | -3.59% | -0.53% | +5.23% | — |
| 2026-06-06 | -25.76 | $307.92 | -3.90% | +2.16% | +14.83% | +2.22% | +6.30% | +69.01% |
| 2026-06-03 | -16.86 | $325.71 | +11.67% | -5.46% | -4.36% | +6.05% | -2.57% | +59.84% |
| 2026-02-06 | -33.86 | $292.32 | +8.50% | +8.24% | +13.77% | +14.39% | +16.13% | +41.90% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-06-06: +14.83%
- 2026-02-06: +13.77%
- 2026-07-01: +10.41%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-06-03: -4.36%
- 2026-06-19: -3.59%
- 2026-07-12: +4.04%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 30 day(s) falls to or below -15%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.