Transparent historical data
What Happens to Litecoin When Fear & Greed Falls Below 25?
Litecoin has recorded 14 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 0.81% and 50.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Alternative.me Crypto Fear & Greed Index and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 90-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -33.5% to -29.8% | 4 |
| -29.8% to -26.2% | 0 |
| -26.2% to -22.5% | 1 |
| -22.5% to -18.9% | 0 |
| -18.9% to -15.2% | 4 |
| -15.2% to -11.5% | 1 |
| -11.5% to -7.9% | 0 |
| -7.9% to -4.2% | 0 |
| -4.2% to -0.6% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 14 | -0.45% | 0.26% | 42.9% | 5.64% | -2.82% |
| 3 days | 14 | 0.40% | -0.57% | 50.0% | 4.40% | -11.66% |
| 7 days | 14 | 0.81% | -0.05% | 50.0% | 19.39% | -23.32% |
| 14 days | 14 | -4.91% | -5.75% | 35.7% | 5.71% | -22.65% |
| 30 days | 14 | -2.87% | -5.02% | 42.9% | 12.23% | -33.01% |
| 90 days | 11 | -18.83% | -21.59% | 0.0% | -0.59% | -33.46% |
Historical occurrences
14 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | 25.00 | $44.25 | +1.28% | +2.61% | +1.92% | +0.63% | +12.23% | — |
| 2026-07-31 | 25.00 | $45.54 | -2.82% | -1.97% | -0.30% | -1.66% | +7.62% | — |
| 2026-07-14 | 22.00 | $43.52 | +4.28% | +3.19% | +8.68% | +5.71% | +3.04% | — |
| 2026-05-24 | 25.00 | $53.45 | -1.32% | -2.88% | -1.96% | -22.65% | -16.74% | -0.59% |
| 2026-05-19 | 25.00 | $54.33 | +0.16% | -0.39% | -3.06% | -6.65% | -17.41% | -18.83% |
| 2026-01-30 | 16.00 | $66.26 | -1.32% | -11.66% | -23.32% | -19.80% | -17.72% | -16.53% |
| 2026-01-21 | 24.00 | $67.23 | +1.98% | +1.20% | +4.06% | -11.75% | -21.62% | -18.14% |
| 2026-01-10 | 25.00 | $81.38 | -0.36% | -6.65% | -7.63% | -16.40% | -33.01% | -33.00% |
| 2025-12-13 | 23.00 | $81.92 | -0.55% | -5.35% | -5.42% | -6.22% | -4.06% | -33.46% |
| 2025-12-06 | 23.00 | $80.37 | +1.66% | +4.40% | +1.93% | -3.59% | +2.57% | -30.93% |
| 2025-11-04 | 21.00 | $87.37 | -2.33% | -0.46% | +19.39% | +4.36% | -1.67% | -33.01% |
| 2025-10-22 | 25.00 | $92.65 | -0.80% | +4.09% | +4.34% | -7.90% | -5.85% | -23.60% |
| 2025-10-17 | 22.00 | $91.76 | -1.79% | +1.70% | +2.55% | +1.66% | +10.67% | -16.48% |
| 2025-10-12 | 24.00 | $93.43 | +5.64% | +4.18% | -1.88% | +3.82% | +11.64% | -12.90% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-11-04: +19.39%
- 2026-07-14: +8.68%
- 2025-10-22: +4.34%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-01-30: -23.32%
- 2026-01-10: -7.63%
- 2025-12-13: -5.42%
How this study works
Daily Fear & Greed observations satisfying the inclusive threshold are grouped into episodes, then returns are measured from the target asset's same-date price.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.