Transparent historical data
What Happens to Litecoin When Fear & Greed Falls Below 20?
Litecoin has recorded 12 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -2.32% and 33.3% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Alternative.me Crypto Fear & Greed Index and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 30-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -23.9% to -20.8% | 1 |
| -20.8% to -17.8% | 2 |
| -17.8% to -14.8% | 2 |
| -14.8% to -11.7% | 1 |
| -11.7% to -8.7% | 1 |
| -8.7% to -5.7% | 1 |
| -5.7% to -2.6% | 0 |
| -2.6% to +0.4% | 2 |
| +0.4% to +3.4% | 2 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 12 | 0.02% | 0.85% | 50.0% | 5.00% | -1.84% |
| 3 days | 12 | 1.89% | -0.01% | 58.3% | 6.89% | -11.66% |
| 7 days | 12 | -2.32% | -3.53% | 33.3% | 6.40% | -23.32% |
| 14 days | 12 | -5.32% | -6.91% | 16.7% | 7.37% | -19.80% |
| 30 days | 12 | -12.33% | -10.38% | 25.0% | 3.42% | -23.85% |
| 90 days | 11 | -25.18% | -25.73% | 9.1% | 3.52% | -50.39% |
Historical occurrences
12 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | 20.00 | $43.90 | -0.63% | +1.92% | +3.38% | +6.65% | +3.42% | — |
| 2026-06-03 | 11.00 | $46.87 | +0.45% | -7.66% | -8.27% | -2.61% | -7.23% | +3.52% |
| 2026-03-20 | 11.00 | $55.59 | +1.06% | -3.54% | -1.88% | -5.89% | +0.12% | -19.28% |
| 2026-01-30 | 16.00 | $66.26 | -1.32% | -11.66% | -23.32% | -19.80% | -17.72% | -16.53% |
| 2026-01-26 | 20.00 | $67.20 | +3.65% | +3.26% | -12.90% | -18.87% | -23.85% | -16.58% |
| 2026-01-22 | 20.00 | $68.56 | -0.52% | -0.57% | +1.20% | -14.22% | -19.45% | -18.97% |
| 2026-01-01 | 20.00 | $76.69 | +4.18% | +6.89% | +6.40% | -0.07% | -14.75% | -29.76% |
| 2025-12-26 | 20.00 | $75.67 | +1.53% | +3.89% | +5.59% | +7.37% | -9.91% | -25.18% |
| 2025-12-15 | 16.00 | $79.00 | -1.84% | -3.86% | -2.75% | -0.48% | -0.87% | -30.43% |
| 2025-12-07 | 20.00 | $81.70 | -0.40% | +5.29% | -0.28% | -4.76% | +2.20% | -34.12% |
| 2025-11-13 | 15.00 | $97.54 | -1.00% | +4.11% | -4.87% | -10.95% | -16.01% | -45.31% |
| 2025-11-08 | 20.00 | $102.40 | +5.00% | +1.86% | -4.66% | -19.35% | -20.53% | -50.39% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-01-01: +6.40%
- 2025-12-26: +5.59%
- 2026-07-08: +3.38%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-01-30: -23.32%
- 2026-01-26: -12.90%
- 2026-06-03: -8.27%
How this study works
Daily Fear & Greed observations satisfying the inclusive threshold are grouped into episodes, then returns are measured from the target asset's same-date price.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.