Historical rule simulator
Backtest: When Fear & Greed Falls Below 20
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy when fear & greed falls below 20, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Litecoin
12 historical signal(s) detected for Litecoin; 9 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (3 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | 2025-11-15 | $102.4014 | $97.6261 | -4.66% | 95.34 |
| 2025-12-07 | 2025-12-14 | $81.7044 | $81.4767 | -0.28% | 95.07 |
| 2025-12-15 | 2025-12-22 | $78.9962 | $76.8239 | -2.75% | 92.46 |
| 2025-12-26 | 2026-01-02 | $75.6720 | $79.9006 | +5.59% | 97.62 |
| 2026-01-22 | 2026-01-29 | $68.5615 | $69.3873 | +1.20% | 98.80 |
| 2026-01-30 | 2026-02-06 | $66.2551 | $50.8023 | -23.32% | 75.76 |
| 2026-03-20 | 2026-03-27 | $55.5928 | $54.5462 | -1.88% | 74.33 |
| 2026-06-03 | 2026-06-10 | $46.8740 | $42.9952 | -8.27% | 68.18 |
| 2026-07-08 | 2026-07-15 | $43.9033 | $45.3863 | +3.38% | 70.48 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Litecoin · Read the full methodology