Transparent historical data
What Happens to Litecoin When Bitcoin Rises 5% in a Day?
Litecoin has recorded 7 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 0.70% and 85.7% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets โ ยท Backtest this rule โ
Outcome summary
Distribution of 1-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -2.2% to -1.6% | 2 |
| -1.6% to -0.9% | 1 |
| -0.9% to -0.3% | 1 |
| -0.3% to +0.4% | 0 |
| +0.4% to +1.1% | 1 |
| +1.1% to +1.7% | 0 |
| +1.7% to +2.4% | 1 |
| +2.4% to +3.0% | 0 |
| +3.0% to +3.7% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
7 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only โ outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | 5.13 | $51.48 | -1.40% | +6.74% | +1.22% | โ | โ | โ |
| 2026-08-20 | 7.12 | $46.76 | +2.23% | +12.23% | +8.00% | +6.20% | โ | โ |
| 2026-04-14 | 5.41 | $54.66 | -0.57% | +3.15% | +0.70% | +1.66% | +4.25% | -19.53% |
| 2026-03-05 | 6.54 | $56.78 | -2.24% | -5.58% | -3.40% | -1.31% | -6.28% | -17.45% |
| 2026-02-26 | 5.89 | $56.75 | -1.92% | -3.94% | +0.07% | -3.33% | -5.44% | -8.53% |
| 2026-02-07 | 11.94 | $54.81 | +0.67% | -0.57% | +0.42% | +0.75% | -3.93% | +2.96% |
| 2025-12-03 | 5.81 | $82.85 | +3.69% | -2.99% | +3.83% | -4.59% | -3.56% | -34.13% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-08-20: +8.00%
- 2025-12-03: +3.83%
- 2026-09-04: +1.22%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-03-05: -3.40%
- 2026-02-26: +0.07%
- 2026-02-07: +0.42%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 1 day(s) rises to or above 5%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) โ 1) ร 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.