Transparent historical data
What Happens to Litecoin When Bitcoin Drops 5% in a Day?
Litecoin has recorded 6 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -7.06% and 16.7% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 7-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -23.3% to -20.2% | 1 |
| -20.2% to -17.1% | 0 |
| -17.1% to -14.0% | 0 |
| -14.0% to -10.9% | 0 |
| -10.9% to -7.8% | 1 |
| -7.8% to -4.7% | 2 |
| -4.7% to -1.6% | 0 |
| -1.6% to +1.5% | 1 |
| +1.5% to +4.6% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 6 | -1.42% | -0.56% | 33.3% | 7.90% | -5.32% |
| 3 days | 6 | -2.49% | -2.38% | 33.3% | 7.32% | -11.66% |
| 7 days | 6 | -7.06% | -6.98% | 16.7% | 4.59% | -23.32% |
| 14 days | 6 | -3.41% | -4.86% | 16.7% | 3.73% | -19.80% |
| 30 days | 6 | -7.70% | -4.11% | 33.3% | 13.72% | -17.72% |
| 90 days | 6 | -11.47% | -10.52% | 33.3% | 11.68% | -38.89% |
Historical occurrences
6 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-03 | -6.44 | $46.87 | +0.45% | -7.66% | -8.27% | -2.61% | -7.23% | +3.52% |
| 2026-02-06 | -14.07 | $50.80 | +7.90% | +7.32% | +4.59% | +3.73% | +5.53% | +11.68% |
| 2026-02-01 | -6.47 | $59.43 | -1.51% | -0.16% | -7.15% | -5.84% | -8.17% | -6.80% |
| 2026-01-30 | -5.14 | $66.26 | -1.32% | -11.66% | -23.32% | -19.80% | -17.72% | -16.53% |
| 2025-11-21 | -5.24 | $87.23 | -5.32% | -4.83% | -0.72% | -4.20% | -10.80% | -38.89% |
| 2025-10-11 | -7.13 | $96.88 | -3.56% | +2.72% | -6.98% | -0.46% | +13.72% | -16.14% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-02-06: +4.59%
- 2025-11-21: -0.72%
- 2025-10-11: -6.98%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-01-30: -23.32%
- 2026-06-03: -8.27%
- 2026-02-01: -7.15%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 1 day(s) falls to or below -5%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.