Transparent historical data
What Happens to Litecoin After Funding Falls to -0.01%?
Litecoin has recorded 11 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 4.75% and 63.6% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Binance USDⓈ-M Futures and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 1-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -12.2% to -10.1% | 1 |
| -10.1% to -8.0% | 1 |
| -8.0% to -5.9% | 0 |
| -5.9% to -3.7% | 2 |
| -3.7% to -1.6% | 3 |
| -1.6% to +0.5% | 1 |
| +0.5% to +2.6% | 2 |
| +2.6% to +4.7% | 0 |
| +4.7% to +6.8% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 11 | -2.73% | -2.69% | 27.3% | 6.83% | -12.21% |
| 3 days | 11 | 0.48% | 0.12% | 54.5% | 20.21% | -10.12% |
| 7 days | 11 | 4.75% | 1.88% | 63.6% | 10.71% | -16.16% |
| 14 days | 11 | 1.41% | -0.35% | 54.5% | 5.83% | -15.81% |
| 30 days | 11 | -8.39% | -6.29% | 27.3% | 6.29% | -18.54% |
| 90 days | 11 | -20.17% | -25.04% | 0.0% | -3.95% | -40.28% |
Historical occurrences
11 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | -0.01 | $55.36 | -0.23% | +1.81% | +4.75% | +1.41% | -8.39% | -20.06% |
| 2026-03-11 | -0.01 | $53.87 | +1.83% | +2.59% | +7.94% | +4.74% | +1.22% | -20.17% |
| 2026-03-08 | -0.01 | $53.61 | -1.78% | +0.48% | +2.50% | +1.41% | -0.12% | -19.27% |
| 2026-02-22 | -0.01 | $54.80 | -5.79% | -6.63% | -0.53% | -2.18% | +1.73% | -3.95% |
| 2026-01-31 | -0.01 | $65.38 | -9.10% | -8.26% | -16.16% | -15.81% | -18.54% | -15.63% |
| 2025-12-02 | -0.02 | $77.55 | +6.83% | +7.76% | +8.19% | -0.01% | -1.11% | -31.32% |
| 2025-11-21 | -0.02 | $87.23 | -5.32% | -4.83% | -0.72% | -4.20% | -10.80% | -38.89% |
| 2025-11-06 | -0.01 | $89.45 | -2.77% | +20.21% | +9.05% | +3.74% | -10.15% | -33.67% |
| 2025-11-03 | -0.01 | $99.52 | -12.21% | -10.12% | +10.71% | -3.75% | -16.75% | -40.28% |
| 2025-10-28 | -0.02 | $99.38 | -2.73% | -6.13% | -12.09% | +4.96% | -12.60% | -32.38% |
| 2025-10-18 | -0.01 | $90.12 | +1.73% | +4.42% | +7.01% | +5.83% | +6.29% | -19.77% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-11-03: +10.71%
- 2025-11-06: +9.05%
- 2025-12-02: +8.19%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-01-31: -16.16%
- 2025-10-28: -12.09%
- 2025-11-21: -0.72%
How this study works
Each Binance funding rate is normalized to an eight-hour equivalent. An episode begins when that rate is at or below -0.01%. Consecutive qualifying funding intervals are grouped, and returns begin from the exact UTC date of the first qualifying interval.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.