Transparent historical data
What Happens to Litecoin After 3 Consecutive Red Days?
Litecoin has recorded 30 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -0.29% and 50.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 14-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -20.5% to -16.8% | 2 |
| -16.8% to -13.1% | 1 |
| -13.1% to -9.5% | 1 |
| -9.5% to -5.8% | 4 |
| -5.8% to -2.1% | 5 |
| -2.1% to +1.6% | 4 |
| +1.6% to +5.2% | 4 |
| +5.2% to +8.9% | 6 |
| +8.9% to +12.6% | 3 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 31 | 0.00% | 0.26% | 51.6% | 7.90% | -9.10% |
| 3 days | 31 | 1.70% | 1.55% | 67.7% | 20.01% | -8.26% |
| 7 days | 30 | -0.29% | 0.20% | 50.0% | 21.28% | -16.16% |
| 14 days | 30 | 0.05% | -0.74% | 50.0% | 12.57% | -20.46% |
| 30 days | 28 | -2.16% | -4.10% | 42.9% | 22.73% | -31.07% |
| 90 days | 23 | -19.27% | -15.15% | 26.1% | 22.77% | -45.31% |
Historical occurrences
31 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | -2.03 | $52.11 | +2.24% | +3.18% | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-30 | -0.62 | $49.01 | -2.29% | +1.08% | +11.59% | +9.48% | — | — |
| 2026-08-25 | -1.27 | $51.64 | -3.32% | -3.33% | -6.03% | +6.90% | — | — |
| 2026-08-15 | -2.18 | $43.81 | +0.60% | +1.65% | +21.28% | +12.57% | +22.73% | — |
| 2026-07-14 | -1.04 | $43.52 | +4.28% | +3.19% | +8.68% | +5.71% | +3.04% | — |
| 2026-07-09 | -0.63 | $43.63 | +0.33% | +2.27% | +3.46% | +7.98% | +4.33% | — |
| 2026-06-26 | -0.50 | $40.87 | +2.43% | +3.89% | +6.40% | +7.10% | +13.78% | — |
| 2026-06-19 | -2.39 | $43.80 | +0.50% | +1.44% | -6.69% | -0.71% | +7.27% | — |
| 2026-06-07 | -4.48 | $41.34 | +3.55% | +4.00% | +7.19% | +7.67% | +8.37% | +22.77% |
| 2026-06-03 | -7.58 | $46.87 | +0.45% | -7.66% | -8.27% | -2.61% | -7.23% | +3.52% |
| 2026-05-27 | -1.45 | $51.91 | +0.00% | -0.11% | -9.69% | -17.17% | -21.26% | -0.51% |
| 2026-05-18 | -2.78 | $54.59 | -0.47% | -1.23% | -3.39% | -4.70% | -16.37% | -19.27% |
| 2026-05-14 | -1.83 | $56.98 | +2.11% | -1.46% | -5.37% | -8.90% | -24.44% | -20.22% |
| 2026-05-05 | -0.50 | $54.96 | +2.56% | +2.69% | +6.43% | -1.14% | -14.33% | -18.77% |
| 2026-03-20 | -0.80 | $55.59 | +1.06% | -3.54% | -1.88% | -5.89% | +0.12% | -19.28% |
| 2026-03-08 | -0.40 | $53.61 | -1.78% | +0.48% | +2.50% | +1.41% | -0.12% | -19.27% |
| 2026-03-01 | -0.12 | $54.51 | -2.30% | +0.55% | -1.65% | +0.81% | -2.26% | -4.89% |
| 2026-02-24 | -0.24 | $51.51 | -0.65% | +8.06% | +5.95% | +4.37% | +9.92% | +2.39% |
| 2026-02-18 | -2.08 | $53.93 | -1.14% | +2.41% | -5.11% | +1.65% | +3.09% | +0.76% |
| 2026-02-11 | -2.12 | $53.35 | -1.84% | +3.17% | +1.08% | -4.08% | +2.17% | +9.64% |
| 2026-02-06 | -13.62 | $50.80 | +7.90% | +7.32% | +4.59% | +3.73% | +5.53% | +11.68% |
| 2026-01-31 | -1.32 | $65.38 | -9.10% | -8.26% | -16.16% | -15.81% | -18.54% | -15.63% |
| 2026-01-13 | -3.34 | $75.97 | +3.08% | -4.83% | -6.83% | -8.32% | -31.07% | -29.63% |
| 2025-12-26 | -0.03 | $75.67 | +1.53% | +3.89% | +5.59% | +7.37% | -9.91% | -25.18% |
| 2025-12-13 | -1.25 | $81.92 | -0.55% | -5.35% | -5.42% | -6.22% | -4.06% | -33.46% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-08-15: +21.28%
- 2025-11-05: +16.77%
- 2026-08-30: +11.59%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-01-31: -16.16%
- 2025-10-07: -15.88%
- 2026-05-27: -9.69%
How this study works
An occurrence is recorded once when the daily reference price has declined for 3 consecutive UTC days. Longer uninterrupted streaks do not create duplicate occurrences.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.