Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After 3 Consecutive Red Days
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after 3 consecutive red days, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Litecoin
31 historical signal(s) detected for Litecoin; 25 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (6 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
1 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-07 | 2025-10-14 | $118.3085 | $99.5173 | -15.88% | 84.12 |
| 2025-10-17 | 2025-10-24 | $91.7573 | $94.0947 | +2.55% | 86.26 |
| 2025-11-05 | 2025-11-12 | $85.3294 | $99.6376 | +16.77% | 100.72 |
| 2025-11-13 | 2025-11-20 | $97.5405 | $92.7930 | -4.87% | 95.82 |
| 2025-11-22 | 2025-11-29 | $82.5908 | $84.3025 | +2.07% | 97.81 |
| 2025-11-30 | 2025-12-07 | $84.0081 | $81.7044 | -2.74% | 95.13 |
| 2025-12-13 | 2025-12-20 | $81.9242 | $77.4827 | -5.42% | 89.97 |
| 2025-12-26 | 2026-01-02 | $75.6720 | $79.9006 | +5.59% | 95.00 |
| 2026-01-13 | 2026-01-20 | $75.9738 | $70.7816 | -6.83% | 88.50 |
| 2026-01-31 | 2026-02-07 | $65.3773 | $54.8135 | -16.16% | 74.20 |
| 2026-02-11 | 2026-02-18 | $53.3494 | $53.9253 | +1.08% | 75.00 |
| 2026-02-18 | 2026-02-25 | $53.9253 | $51.1705 | -5.11% | 71.17 |
| 2026-03-01 | 2026-03-08 | $54.5128 | $53.6117 | -1.65% | 70.00 |
| 2026-03-08 | 2026-03-15 | $53.6117 | $54.9541 | +2.50% | 71.75 |
| 2026-03-20 | 2026-03-27 | $55.5928 | $54.5462 | -1.88% | 70.40 |
| 2026-05-05 | 2026-05-12 | $54.9584 | $58.4946 | +6.43% | 74.93 |
| 2026-05-14 | 2026-05-21 | $56.9791 | $53.9177 | -5.37% | 70.90 |
| 2026-05-27 | 2026-06-03 | $51.9050 | $46.8740 | -9.69% | 64.03 |
| 2026-06-03 | 2026-06-10 | $46.8740 | $42.9952 | -8.27% | 58.73 |
| 2026-06-19 | 2026-06-26 | $43.7987 | $40.8699 | -6.69% | 54.80 |
| 2026-06-26 | 2026-07-03 | $40.8699 | $43.4856 | +6.40% | 58.31 |
| 2026-07-09 | 2026-07-16 | $43.6261 | $45.1363 | +3.46% | 60.33 |
| 2026-08-15 | 2026-08-22 | $43.8069 | $53.1296 | +21.28% | 73.17 |
| 2026-08-25 | 2026-09-01 | $51.6415 | $48.5260 | -6.03% | 68.75 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Litecoin · Read the full methodology