Transparent historical data
What Happens to Litecoin After a 3% One-Day Rise?
Litecoin has recorded 35 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -1.17% and 37.1% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 3-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -21.6% to -17.0% | 1 |
| -17.0% to -12.3% | 2 |
| -12.3% to -7.7% | 0 |
| -7.7% to -3.0% | 10 |
| -3.0% to +1.6% | 16 |
| +1.6% to +6.3% | 3 |
| +6.3% to +10.9% | 1 |
| +10.9% to +15.6% | 1 |
| +15.6% to +20.2% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 35 | -0.55% | -0.88% | 45.7% | 5.00% | -23.08% |
| 3 days | 35 | -1.85% | -2.04% | 25.7% | 20.21% | -21.63% |
| 7 days | 35 | -1.17% | -3.02% | 37.1% | 9.05% | -27.15% |
| 14 days | 33 | -3.96% | -5.41% | 36.4% | 10.22% | -25.30% |
| 30 days | 31 | -8.77% | -11.52% | 12.9% | 2.55% | -32.15% |
| 90 days | 28 | -26.63% | -23.71% | 10.7% | 27.74% | -50.39% |
Historical occurrences
35 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | 7.74 | $54.69 | +0.48% | -0.72% | -1.89% | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-04 | 3.66 | $51.48 | -1.40% | +6.74% | +1.22% | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-22 | 11.15 | $53.13 | -1.22% | -2.80% | -7.18% | -4.47% | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 | 5.44 | $46.76 | +2.23% | +12.23% | +8.00% | +6.20% | — | — |
| 2026-07-19 | 4.09 | $46.98 | +0.11% | -0.34% | -1.02% | -5.93% | -5.22% | — |
| 2026-07-15 | 4.28 | $45.39 | -0.55% | -0.55% | +3.17% | +1.72% | -1.33% | — |
| 2026-07-04 | 3.01 | $44.79 | +0.04% | +0.02% | -0.10% | +0.77% | -0.33% | — |
| 2026-06-08 | 3.55 | $42.81 | +0.45% | -2.56% | +5.99% | +3.78% | +2.55% | +27.74% |
| 2026-05-11 | 4.11 | $60.38 | -3.12% | -5.63% | -9.59% | -12.65% | -28.79% | -23.84% |
| 2026-05-09 | 3.34 | $58.32 | -0.56% | +0.30% | -1.42% | -9.74% | -26.59% | -22.15% |
| 2026-04-08 | 3.69 | $55.52 | -2.88% | -1.00% | -2.12% | +0.06% | +1.65% | -19.30% |
| 2026-03-24 | 3.97 | $55.75 | +1.20% | -2.17% | -4.44% | -3.96% | -0.40% | -20.31% |
| 2026-03-17 | 3.74 | $58.55 | -0.69% | -5.04% | -4.77% | -9.00% | -5.69% | -22.49% |
| 2026-03-05 | 3.59 | $56.78 | -2.24% | -5.58% | -3.40% | -1.31% | -6.28% | -17.45% |
| 2026-02-26 | 10.90 | $56.75 | -1.92% | -3.94% | +0.07% | -3.33% | -5.44% | -8.53% |
| 2026-02-21 | 4.80 | $55.23 | -0.76% | -6.73% | -1.17% | -2.54% | -2.90% | -2.00% |
| 2026-02-14 | 3.59 | $55.04 | +1.66% | +0.05% | +0.33% | -0.84% | +2.53% | +5.70% |
| 2026-02-07 | 7.90 | $54.81 | +0.67% | -0.57% | +0.42% | +0.75% | -3.93% | +2.96% |
| 2026-01-27 | 3.65 | $69.65 | +0.45% | -4.87% | -13.89% | -21.75% | -18.53% | -19.19% |
| 2026-01-17 | 3.98 | $75.18 | -0.44% | -5.85% | -9.50% | -13.04% | -26.68% | -25.01% |
| 2026-01-14 | 3.08 | $78.31 | -2.14% | -4.00% | -14.15% | -10.66% | -32.15% | -30.21% |
| 2026-01-02 | 4.18 | $79.90 | +2.48% | +3.18% | +1.69% | -9.51% | -25.63% | -32.64% |
| 2025-12-28 | 4.39 | $80.20 | -1.98% | -1.85% | +2.22% | +1.11% | -13.16% | -33.10% |
| 2025-12-20 | 4.35 | $77.48 | +0.43% | -0.63% | -0.85% | +5.67% | -8.77% | -28.25% |
| 2025-12-09 | 3.10 | $83.90 | +2.53% | -1.12% | -7.58% | -8.23% | -2.74% | -37.24% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-11-06: +9.05%
- 2026-08-20: +8.00%
- 2025-11-02: +6.07%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-10-10: -27.15%
- 2025-11-16: -19.10%
- 2026-01-14: -14.15%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 1 day(s) rises to or above 3%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.