Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 3% One-Day Rise
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 3% one-day rise, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Litecoin
35 historical signal(s) detected for Litecoin; 23 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (12 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-02 | 2025-10-09 | $115.2913 | $118.5840 | +2.86% | 102.86 |
| 2025-10-10 | 2025-10-17 | $125.9563 | $91.7573 | -27.15% | 74.93 |
| 2025-10-27 | 2025-11-03 | $99.9599 | $99.5156 | -0.44% | 74.60 |
| 2025-11-06 | 2025-11-13 | $89.4461 | $97.5405 | +9.05% | 81.35 |
| 2025-11-16 | 2025-11-23 | $101.5451 | $82.1451 | -19.10% | 65.81 |
| 2025-12-03 | 2025-12-10 | $82.8478 | $86.0245 | +3.83% | 68.33 |
| 2025-12-20 | 2025-12-27 | $77.4827 | $76.8272 | -0.85% | 67.75 |
| 2025-12-28 | 2026-01-04 | $80.2012 | $81.9787 | +2.22% | 69.25 |
| 2026-01-14 | 2026-01-21 | $78.3122 | $67.2305 | -14.15% | 59.45 |
| 2026-01-27 | 2026-02-03 | $69.6502 | $59.9764 | -13.89% | 51.20 |
| 2026-02-07 | 2026-02-14 | $54.8135 | $55.0431 | +0.42% | 51.41 |
| 2026-02-14 | 2026-02-21 | $55.0431 | $55.2270 | +0.33% | 51.58 |
| 2026-02-21 | 2026-02-28 | $55.2270 | $54.5804 | -1.17% | 50.98 |
| 2026-03-05 | 2026-03-12 | $56.7829 | $54.8536 | -3.40% | 49.25 |
| 2026-03-17 | 2026-03-24 | $58.5464 | $55.7546 | -4.77% | 46.90 |
| 2026-03-24 | 2026-03-31 | $55.7546 | $53.2797 | -4.44% | 44.82 |
| 2026-04-08 | 2026-04-15 | $55.5205 | $54.3436 | -2.12% | 43.87 |
| 2026-05-09 | 2026-05-16 | $58.3187 | $57.4912 | -1.42% | 43.24 |
| 2026-06-08 | 2026-06-15 | $42.8114 | $45.3777 | +5.99% | 45.84 |
| 2026-07-04 | 2026-07-11 | $44.7926 | $44.7481 | -0.10% | 45.79 |
| 2026-07-15 | 2026-07-22 | $45.3863 | $46.8235 | +3.17% | 47.24 |
| 2026-08-20 | 2026-08-27 | $46.7607 | $50.5035 | +8.00% | 51.02 |
| 2026-09-04 | 2026-09-11 | $51.4784 | $52.1078 | +1.22% | 51.64 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Litecoin · Read the full methodology