Transparent historical data
What Happens to Litecoin After 3 Consecutive Negative Funding Intervals?
Litecoin has recorded 37 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -0.53% and 43.2% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Binance USDⓈ-M Futures and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 1-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -7.2% to -5.6% | 3 |
| -5.6% to -3.9% | 1 |
| -3.9% to -2.2% | 7 |
| -2.2% to -0.5% | 5 |
| -0.5% to +1.2% | 15 |
| +1.2% to +2.9% | 3 |
| +2.9% to +4.5% | 1 |
| +4.5% to +6.2% | 1 |
| +6.2% to +7.9% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 37 | -0.40% | -0.72% | 35.1% | 7.90% | -7.24% |
| 3 days | 37 | -0.19% | -0.79% | 40.5% | 7.32% | -12.19% |
| 7 days | 37 | -0.53% | -0.61% | 43.2% | 21.28% | -21.10% |
| 14 days | 37 | 1.25% | -0.20% | 56.8% | 12.57% | -17.20% |
| 30 days | 37 | -1.01% | -1.27% | 48.6% | 22.73% | -23.71% |
| 90 days | 32 | -18.27% | -14.81% | 18.8% | 27.78% | -41.58% |
Historical occurrences
37 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | -0.00 | $43.81 | +0.60% | +1.65% | +21.28% | +12.57% | +22.73% | — |
| 2026-08-01 | -0.01 | $44.26 | -0.14% | -0.02% | +2.84% | -1.02% | +8.20% | — |
| 2026-06-27 | -0.00 | $41.86 | +0.64% | +2.99% | +6.99% | +6.89% | +14.17% | — |
| 2026-06-25 | -0.00 | $41.07 | -0.50% | +2.57% | +3.88% | +6.21% | +12.78% | — |
| 2026-06-21 | -0.01 | $44.51 | -0.19% | -5.37% | -5.35% | +0.67% | +6.27% | — |
| 2026-06-14 | -0.00 | $44.32 | +2.40% | +3.01% | +0.44% | -4.93% | -1.79% | +20.22% |
| 2026-06-09 | -0.01 | $43.00 | -0.02% | -1.33% | +6.36% | +3.48% | +1.45% | +27.78% |
| 2026-06-04 | -0.00 | $47.08 | -3.19% | -12.19% | -11.40% | -4.69% | -4.86% | +5.22% |
| 2026-05-31 | -0.00 | $52.40 | -0.72% | -10.54% | -21.10% | -15.42% | -17.71% | -5.89% |
| 2026-05-22 | -0.00 | $54.12 | -2.74% | -2.55% | -4.64% | -15.78% | -17.75% | -13.60% |
| 2026-05-18 | -0.00 | $54.59 | -0.47% | -1.23% | -3.39% | -4.70% | -16.37% | -19.27% |
| 2026-05-01 | -0.00 | $55.16 | +0.41% | +0.13% | +2.31% | +5.47% | -5.01% | -17.69% |
| 2026-04-26 | -0.00 | $56.06 | +0.40% | -0.64% | -1.24% | +3.45% | -6.04% | -17.36% |
| 2026-04-19 | -0.00 | $55.66 | -2.87% | -0.19% | +0.71% | -0.53% | -2.39% | -18.91% |
| 2026-04-13 | -0.00 | $53.47 | +2.23% | +3.27% | +1.12% | +5.27% | +8.56% | -16.55% |
| 2026-04-09 | -0.00 | $53.92 | +1.12% | +2.11% | +2.40% | +2.98% | +8.15% | -18.58% |
| 2026-04-02 | -0.01 | $53.82 | -2.79% | -0.45% | +0.18% | +2.59% | +2.90% | -22.15% |
| 2026-03-28 | -0.01 | $53.66 | +0.35% | -0.71% | -0.82% | +2.43% | +4.89% | -23.83% |
| 2026-03-22 | -0.01 | $54.37 | -1.37% | +3.78% | -0.96% | -1.45% | +1.23% | -19.04% |
| 2026-03-07 | -0.01 | $53.83 | -0.40% | -0.13% | +2.68% | +4.38% | +0.98% | -15.32% |
| 2026-02-28 | -0.00 | $54.58 | -0.12% | -0.02% | -1.38% | +1.25% | -2.34% | -5.45% |
| 2026-02-22 | -0.00 | $54.80 | -5.79% | -6.63% | -0.53% | -2.18% | +1.73% | -3.95% |
| 2026-02-19 | -0.01 | $53.31 | -1.15% | +2.80% | +6.44% | +6.51% | +5.39% | +2.08% |
| 2026-02-11 | -0.00 | $53.35 | -1.84% | +3.17% | +1.08% | -4.08% | +2.17% | +9.64% |
| 2026-02-06 | -0.00 | $50.80 | +7.90% | +7.32% | +4.59% | +3.73% | +5.53% | +11.68% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-08-15: +21.28%
- 2025-11-04: +19.39%
- 2026-06-27: +6.99%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-05-31: -21.10%
- 2025-11-17: -13.32%
- 2025-10-29: -11.73%
How this study works
An occurrence is recorded at the 3rd consecutive negative funding interval. A longer uninterrupted run remains one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.