Transparent historical data
What Happens to Litecoin After a 1.5x Volume Spike?
Litecoin has recorded 17 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -3.75% and 35.3% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 1-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -9.1% to -7.2% | 1 |
| -7.2% to -5.3% | 0 |
| -5.3% to -3.4% | 3 |
| -3.4% to -1.5% | 2 |
| -1.5% to +0.3% | 2 |
| +0.3% to +2.2% | 5 |
| +2.2% to +4.1% | 2 |
| +4.1% to +6.0% | 1 |
| +6.0% to +7.9% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 17 | 0.45% | -0.03% | 58.8% | 7.90% | -9.10% |
| 3 days | 17 | -1.34% | -0.64% | 41.2% | 12.23% | -8.26% |
| 7 days | 17 | -3.75% | -3.16% | 35.3% | 9.60% | -16.16% |
| 14 days | 14 | -2.97% | -4.32% | 35.7% | 6.20% | -19.35% |
| 30 days | 12 | -8.82% | -9.43% | 25.0% | 13.72% | -31.07% |
| 90 days | 12 | -17.95% | -17.76% | 25.0% | 11.68% | -50.39% |
Historical occurrences
17 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | 2.09 | $55.20 | -1.65% | -5.61% | -3.75% | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-06 | 2.47 | $54.69 | +0.48% | -0.72% | -1.89% | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-04 | 1.52 | $51.48 | -1.40% | +6.74% | +1.22% | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-02 | 1.60 | $49.54 | +0.24% | +2.46% | +9.60% | +3.42% | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 | 1.52 | $46.76 | +2.23% | +12.23% | +8.00% | +6.20% | — | — |
| 2026-06-05 | 1.64 | $45.58 | -5.04% | -6.08% | -6.91% | -3.91% | -1.68% | +8.95% |
| 2026-06-03 | 1.57 | $46.87 | +0.45% | -7.66% | -8.27% | -2.61% | -7.23% | +3.52% |
| 2026-02-26 | 1.54 | $56.75 | -1.92% | -3.94% | +0.07% | -3.33% | -5.44% | -8.53% |
| 2026-02-06 | 1.94 | $50.80 | +7.90% | +7.32% | +4.59% | +3.73% | +5.53% | +11.68% |
| 2026-01-31 | 1.73 | $65.38 | -9.10% | -8.26% | -16.16% | -15.81% | -18.54% | -15.63% |
| 2026-01-20 | 1.71 | $70.78 | -5.02% | -3.64% | -1.60% | -15.27% | -24.68% | -23.62% |
| 2026-01-13 | 1.78 | $75.97 | +3.08% | -4.83% | -6.83% | -8.32% | -31.07% | -29.63% |
| 2025-11-15 | 1.52 | $97.63 | +4.01% | -6.61% | -15.40% | -13.65% | -19.08% | -45.57% |
| 2025-11-08 | 2.05 | $102.40 | +5.00% | +1.86% | -4.66% | -19.35% | -20.53% | -50.39% |
| 2025-10-29 | 2.26 | $96.67 | +2.07% | -1.34% | -11.73% | +3.07% | -10.41% | -27.95% |
| 2025-10-18 | 1.54 | $90.12 | +1.73% | +4.42% | +7.01% | +5.83% | +6.29% | -19.77% |
| 2025-10-11 | 5.84 | $96.88 | -3.56% | +2.72% | -6.98% | -0.46% | +13.72% | -16.14% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-09-02: +9.60%
- 2026-08-20: +8.00%
- 2025-10-18: +7.01%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-01-31: -16.16%
- 2025-11-15: -15.40%
- 2025-10-29: -11.73%
How this study works
Daily volume is compared with the median of the preceding 30 complete observations.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.