Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 1.5x Volume Spike
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 1.5x volume spike, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Litecoin
17 historical signal(s) detected for Litecoin; 12 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (5 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $96.8838 | $90.1182 | -6.98% | 93.02 |
| 2025-10-18 | 2025-10-25 | $90.1182 | $96.4339 | +7.01% | 99.54 |
| 2025-10-29 | 2025-11-05 | $96.6683 | $85.3294 | -11.73% | 87.86 |
| 2025-11-08 | 2025-11-15 | $102.4014 | $97.6261 | -4.66% | 83.76 |
| 2025-11-15 | 2025-11-22 | $97.6261 | $82.5908 | -15.40% | 70.86 |
| 2026-01-13 | 2026-01-20 | $75.9738 | $70.7816 | -6.83% | 66.02 |
| 2026-01-20 | 2026-01-27 | $70.7816 | $69.6502 | -1.60% | 64.96 |
| 2026-01-31 | 2026-02-07 | $65.3773 | $54.8135 | -16.16% | 54.47 |
| 2026-02-26 | 2026-03-05 | $56.7460 | $56.7829 | +0.07% | 54.50 |
| 2026-06-03 | 2026-06-10 | $46.8740 | $42.9952 | -8.27% | 49.99 |
| 2026-08-20 | 2026-08-27 | $46.7607 | $50.5035 | +8.00% | 53.99 |
| 2026-09-02 | 2026-09-09 | $49.5400 | $54.2939 | +9.60% | 59.18 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Litecoin · Read the full methodology