Transparent historical data
What Happens to LEO Token When Fear & Greed Falls Below 10?
LEO Token has recorded 6 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 2.30% and 83.3% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Alternative.me Crypto Fear & Greed Index and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 90-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -9.6% to -3.0% | 2 |
| -3.0% to +3.7% | 1 |
| +3.7% to +10.3% | 1 |
| +10.3% to +16.9% | 1 |
| +16.9% to +23.5% | 0 |
| +23.5% to +30.1% | 0 |
| +30.1% to +36.8% | 0 |
| +36.8% to +43.4% | 0 |
| +43.4% to +50.0% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
6 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 | 8.00 | $9.58 | -1.73% | +0.38% | +2.21% | +0.14% | -2.35% | -3.20% |
| 2026-03-22 | 10.00 | $9.22 | +0.70% | +1.61% | +3.65% | +10.32% | +10.85% | +3.25% |
| 2026-03-09 | 8.00 | $8.97 | +2.07% | +1.56% | +0.90% | +3.53% | +17.60% | +5.41% |
| 2026-03-02 | 10.00 | $9.02 | +0.14% | +0.11% | -0.55% | +0.35% | +9.35% | +11.64% |
| 2026-02-06 | 9.00 | $6.82 | +15.96% | +22.08% | +22.04% | +26.58% | +31.73% | +50.01% |
| 2025-11-15 | 10.00 | $9.20 | -0.54% | -0.48% | +2.39% | +6.00% | +0.14% | -9.59% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-02-06: +22.04%
- 2026-03-22: +3.65%
- 2025-11-15: +2.39%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-03-02: -0.55%
- 2026-03-09: +0.90%
- 2026-06-08: +2.21%
How this study works
Daily Fear & Greed observations satisfying the inclusive threshold are grouped into episodes, then returns are measured from the target asset's same-date price.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.