Historical rule simulator
Backtest: When Fear & Greed Falls Below 10
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy when fear & greed falls below 10, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for LEO Token
6 historical signal(s) detected for LEO Token; 6 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (0 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | 2025-11-22 | $9.2029 | $9.4225 | +2.39% | 102.39 |
| 2026-02-06 | 2026-02-13 | $6.8176 | $8.3201 | +22.04% | 124.95 |
| 2026-03-02 | 2026-03-09 | $9.0191 | $8.9694 | -0.55% | 124.26 |
| 2026-03-09 | 2026-03-16 | $8.9694 | $9.0502 | +0.90% | 125.38 |
| 2026-03-22 | 2026-03-29 | $9.2217 | $9.5582 | +3.65% | 129.96 |
| 2026-06-08 | 2026-06-15 | $9.5834 | $9.7955 | +2.21% | 132.84 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for LEO Token · Read the full methodology