Transparent historical data
What Happens to LEO Token When Bitcoin Rises 5% in a Day?
LEO Token has recorded 7 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 1.53% and 71.4% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 7-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -1.8% to -0.9% | 1 |
| -0.9% to -0.0% | 1 |
| -0.0% to +0.9% | 0 |
| +0.9% to +1.8% | 2 |
| +1.8% to +2.7% | 1 |
| +2.7% to +3.6% | 1 |
| +3.6% to +4.5% | 0 |
| +4.5% to +5.3% | 0 |
| +5.3% to +6.2% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
7 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | 5.13 | $9.35 | -1.79% | +0.00% | -1.83% | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 | 7.12 | $9.30 | -0.26% | +0.92% | -0.74% | -0.63% | — | — |
| 2026-04-14 | 5.41 | $10.00 | -1.31% | -0.25% | +2.20% | +3.57% | +0.52% | -4.54% |
| 2026-03-05 | 6.54 | $9.03 | -0.07% | -0.53% | +0.89% | +0.84% | +11.74% | +11.49% |
| 2026-02-26 | 5.89 | $8.72 | -0.62% | +1.79% | +3.53% | +4.44% | +8.60% | +14.68% |
| 2026-02-07 | 11.94 | $7.91 | -1.52% | +8.42% | +6.24% | +9.69% | +13.46% | +30.21% |
| 2025-12-03 | 5.81 | $9.48 | +0.50% | -0.13% | +1.53% | -3.43% | +1.10% | -4.77% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-02-07: +6.24%
- 2026-02-26: +3.53%
- 2026-04-14: +2.20%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-09-04: -1.83%
- 2026-08-20: -0.74%
- 2026-03-05: +0.89%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 1 day(s) rises to or above 5%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.