Transparent historical data
What Happens to LEO Token When Bitcoin Drops 10% in a Day?
LEO Token has recorded 1 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 22.04% and 100.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 90-day outcomes
Not enough completed data yet for a distribution chart.
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 1 | 15.96% | 15.96% | 100.0% | 15.96% | 15.96% |
| 3 days | 1 | 22.08% | 22.08% | 100.0% | 22.08% | 22.08% |
| 7 days | 1 | 22.04% | 22.04% | 100.0% | 22.04% | 22.04% |
| 14 days | 1 | 26.58% | 26.58% | 100.0% | 26.58% | 26.58% |
| 30 days | 1 | 31.73% | 31.73% | 100.0% | 31.73% | 31.73% |
| 90 days | 1 | 50.01% | 50.01% | 100.0% | 50.01% | 50.01% |
Historical occurrences
1 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 | -14.07 | $6.82 | +15.96% | +22.08% | +22.04% | +26.58% | +31.73% | +50.01% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-02-06: +22.04%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-02-06: +22.04%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 1 day(s) falls to or below -10%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.