Transparent historical data
What Happens to LEO Token After a 3x Volume Spike?
This study currently has no completed 7-day observations in the locally stored LEO Token dataset.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 90-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -25.7% to -17.3% | 1 |
| -17.3% to -8.9% | 0 |
| -8.9% to -0.5% | 4 |
| -0.5% to +7.9% | 0 |
| +7.9% to +16.3% | 2 |
| +16.3% to +24.8% | 3 |
| +24.8% to +33.2% | 1 |
| +33.2% to +41.6% | 0 |
| +41.6% to +50.0% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
14 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | 4.50 | $9.18 | -2.48% | +2.45% | +1.59% | +2.70% | -1.48% | — |
| 2026-08-13 | 4.07 | $9.08 | +4.61% | -1.41% | +2.49% | +1.72% | +0.83% | — |
| 2026-06-06 | 6.29 | $9.56 | -1.06% | -1.46% | +0.48% | -0.37% | -3.02% | -2.13% |
| 2026-05-22 | 3.00 | $9.87 | +0.93% | +1.57% | +1.77% | +0.75% | -2.73% | -5.73% |
| 2026-05-19 | 3.39 | $10.11 | -1.74% | -2.36% | -1.23% | -0.88% | -4.24% | -7.71% |
| 2026-02-25 | 3.97 | $8.56 | +1.88% | +2.10% | +6.94% | +7.07% | +11.16% | +16.60% |
| 2026-02-22 | 3.08 | $8.35 | -2.06% | +2.47% | +6.27% | +7.50% | +12.59% | +19.21% |
| 2026-02-06 | 7.49 | $6.82 | +15.96% | +22.08% | +22.04% | +26.58% | +31.73% | +50.01% |
| 2026-02-02 | 3.76 | $8.40 | +1.98% | +5.45% | -0.87% | -0.10% | +9.05% | +21.98% |
| 2026-01-17 | 17.57 | $8.89 | +1.76% | +0.80% | -0.01% | +2.83% | -5.69% | +12.19% |
| 2025-12-22 | 4.81 | $8.10 | +2.10% | +0.23% | +4.62% | +10.90% | +7.88% | +13.81% |
| 2025-12-18 | 7.13 | $7.22 | -6.04% | +18.25% | +12.43% | +32.98% | +23.11% | +25.47% |
| 2025-11-12 | 4.78 | $9.24 | -1.24% | -0.42% | +3.01% | +4.37% | +2.91% | -7.25% |
| 2025-11-08 | 4.31 | $9.18 | -0.88% | +0.04% | +0.23% | +2.63% | +6.18% | -25.75% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-02-06: +22.04%
- 2025-12-18: +12.43%
- 2026-02-25: +6.94%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-05-19: -1.23%
- 2026-02-02: -0.87%
- 2026-01-17: -0.01%
How this study works
Daily volume is compared with the median of the preceding 30 complete observations.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.