Transparent historical data
What Happens to LEO Token After 3 Consecutive Red Days?
LEO Token has recorded 16 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 0.45% and 62.5% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 30-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -7.3% to -2.8% | 4 |
| -2.8% to +1.7% | 4 |
| +1.7% to +6.2% | 2 |
| +6.2% to +10.7% | 1 |
| +10.7% to +15.3% | 2 |
| +15.3% to +19.8% | 1 |
| +19.8% to +24.3% | 0 |
| +24.3% to +28.8% | 0 |
| +28.8% to +33.3% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 17 | -0.04% | 1.23% | 41.2% | 17.51% | -2.73% |
| 3 days | 17 | -0.54% | 0.67% | 35.3% | 19.38% | -4.60% |
| 7 days | 16 | 0.45% | 1.64% | 62.5% | 24.12% | -16.04% |
| 14 days | 16 | 1.20% | 3.57% | 62.5% | 41.27% | -10.56% |
| 30 days | 15 | 1.32% | 4.55% | 66.7% | 33.34% | -7.33% |
| 90 days | 11 | -2.13% | 5.06% | 45.5% | 34.15% | -8.74% |
Historical occurrences
17 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | -0.18 | $9.18 | -0.00% | -0.48% | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-02 | -1.83 | $9.39 | -1.54% | -2.16% | -2.02% | -5.93% | — | — |
| 2026-08-13 | -3.58 | $9.08 | +4.61% | -1.41% | +2.49% | +1.72% | +0.83% | — |
| 2026-07-22 | -0.22 | $9.72 | -0.25% | -0.54% | +0.42% | +0.57% | -4.50% | — |
| 2026-07-03 | -1.27 | $9.12 | +0.52% | +1.65% | +4.79% | +7.57% | +7.16% | — |
| 2026-06-24 | -0.41 | $9.54 | -1.04% | -2.81% | -2.71% | -1.88% | +1.94% | — |
| 2026-06-18 | -0.11 | $9.68 | -0.70% | -0.82% | -2.46% | -4.58% | +1.32% | -8.74% |
| 2026-06-06 | -3.87 | $9.56 | -1.06% | -1.46% | +0.48% | -0.37% | -3.02% | -2.13% |
| 2026-04-14 | -0.22 | $10.00 | -1.31% | -0.25% | +2.20% | +3.57% | +0.52% | -4.54% |
| 2026-03-14 | -0.11 | $9.03 | +0.17% | +0.72% | +0.61% | +4.93% | +11.04% | +5.39% |
| 2026-03-07 | -0.02 | $9.02 | -0.44% | +1.49% | +0.07% | +0.68% | +12.48% | +10.21% |
| 2026-02-24 | -1.87 | $8.03 | +6.62% | +7.95% | +12.49% | +14.02% | +16.44% | +24.82% |
| 2026-01-04 | -2.68 | $9.24 | -2.73% | -2.88% | -1.60% | -2.04% | -7.33% | +9.21% |
| 2025-12-19 | -6.04 | $6.79 | +17.51% | +19.38% | +24.12% | +41.27% | +33.34% | +34.15% |
| 2025-12-13 | -0.12 | $9.50 | -0.04% | -2.80% | -16.04% | -10.56% | -4.54% | -4.87% |
| 2025-10-23 | -0.06 | $8.96 | +0.05% | +0.45% | +7.64% | +6.36% | +5.12% | -2.48% |
| 2025-10-19 | -0.83 | $9.40 | +0.51% | -4.60% | -4.23% | +1.79% | -2.59% | -5.41% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-12-19: +24.12%
- 2026-02-24: +12.49%
- 2025-10-23: +7.64%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-12-13: -16.04%
- 2025-10-19: -4.23%
- 2026-06-24: -2.71%
How this study works
An occurrence is recorded once when the daily reference price has declined for 3 consecutive UTC days. Longer uninterrupted streaks do not create duplicate occurrences.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.