Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After 3 Consecutive Red Days
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after 3 consecutive red days, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for LEO Token
17 historical signal(s) detected for LEO Token; 14 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (3 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
1 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-19 | 2025-10-26 | $9.4018 | $9.0041 | -4.23% | 95.77 |
| 2025-12-13 | 2025-12-20 | $9.4992 | $7.9756 | -16.04% | 80.41 |
| 2026-01-04 | 2026-01-11 | $9.2386 | $9.0904 | -1.60% | 79.12 |
| 2026-02-24 | 2026-03-03 | $8.0294 | $9.0321 | +12.49% | 89.00 |
| 2026-03-07 | 2026-03-14 | $9.0206 | $9.0270 | +0.07% | 89.06 |
| 2026-03-14 | 2026-03-21 | $9.0270 | $9.0818 | +0.61% | 89.60 |
| 2026-04-14 | 2026-04-21 | $10.0024 | $10.2222 | +2.20% | 91.57 |
| 2026-06-06 | 2026-06-13 | $9.5566 | $9.6023 | +0.48% | 92.01 |
| 2026-06-18 | 2026-06-25 | $9.6773 | $9.4391 | -2.46% | 89.74 |
| 2026-07-03 | 2026-07-10 | $9.1168 | $9.5534 | +4.79% | 94.04 |
| 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-29 | $9.7162 | $9.7573 | +0.42% | 94.44 |
| 2026-08-13 | 2026-08-20 | $9.0768 | $9.3024 | +2.49% | 96.79 |
| 2026-09-02 | 2026-09-09 | $9.3887 | $9.1993 | -2.02% | 94.84 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for LEO Token · Read the full methodology