Transparent historical data
What Happens to LEO Token After a 3% One-Day Rise?
LEO Token has recorded 15 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 0.77% and 60.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 30-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -28.7% to -23.9% | 1 |
| -23.9% to -19.0% | 0 |
| -19.0% to -14.2% | 0 |
| -14.2% to -9.3% | 0 |
| -9.3% to -4.5% | 2 |
| -4.5% to +0.4% | 4 |
| +0.4% to +5.2% | 2 |
| +5.2% to +10.1% | 2 |
| +10.1% to +14.9% | 4 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 15 | -0.02% | 0.66% | 46.7% | 7.11% | -3.45% |
| 3 days | 15 | 0.66% | 0.50% | 60.0% | 8.42% | -10.73% |
| 7 days | 15 | 0.77% | 2.07% | 60.0% | 18.28% | -4.32% |
| 14 days | 15 | -0.47% | 2.36% | 40.0% | 19.03% | -7.03% |
| 30 days | 15 | 1.89% | 1.55% | 53.3% | 14.92% | -28.70% |
| 90 days | 13 | 9.19% | 5.58% | 61.5% | 30.21% | -25.75% |
Historical occurrences
15 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | 4.23 | $9.33 | +0.79% | -0.27% | +1.80% | +3.02% | -5.32% | — |
| 2026-08-14 | 4.61 | $9.49 | -3.36% | -1.77% | -2.28% | -1.39% | -3.75% | — |
| 2026-04-25 | 3.56 | $10.29 | -1.11% | +0.66% | -0.59% | -0.47% | -2.61% | -5.52% |
| 2026-04-02 | 6.42 | $10.50 | -2.29% | -3.07% | -4.32% | -7.03% | -2.54% | -11.58% |
| 2026-02-25 | 6.62 | $8.56 | +1.88% | +2.10% | +6.94% | +7.07% | +11.16% | +16.60% |
| 2026-02-09 | 6.90 | $8.32 | +2.99% | +0.90% | +0.77% | -1.69% | +10.14% | +23.31% |
| 2026-02-07 | 15.96 | $7.91 | -1.52% | +8.42% | +6.24% | +9.69% | +13.46% | +30.21% |
| 2026-02-04 | 3.43 | $8.86 | -0.02% | -10.73% | -1.61% | -2.22% | +1.89% | +13.57% |
| 2026-01-06 | 3.41 | $9.29 | -3.45% | -2.29% | -2.41% | -3.52% | -4.72% | +9.19% |
| 2025-12-31 | 6.49 | $9.15 | +5.04% | +3.80% | -1.89% | -0.77% | -0.18% | +6.72% |
| 2025-12-25 | 3.51 | $8.12 | +3.73% | +4.33% | +18.28% | +13.07% | +9.49% | +15.37% |
| 2025-12-20 | 17.51 | $7.98 | +7.11% | +3.73% | +6.52% | +19.03% | +14.92% | +16.33% |
| 2025-11-19 | 3.94 | $9.52 | -1.55% | -1.02% | +1.32% | -0.37% | -28.70% | -11.43% |
| 2025-11-08 | 5.84 | $9.18 | -0.88% | +0.04% | +0.23% | +2.63% | +6.18% | -25.75% |
| 2025-10-28 | 4.20 | $9.34 | +2.60% | +2.73% | +1.98% | -1.62% | +3.83% | -4.54% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-12-25: +18.28%
- 2026-02-25: +6.94%
- 2025-12-20: +6.52%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-04-02: -4.32%
- 2026-01-06: -2.41%
- 2026-08-14: -2.28%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 1 day(s) rises to or above 3%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.