Transparent historical data
What Happens to LEO Token After a 5% One-Day Rise?
LEO Token has recorded 7 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 0.77% and 71.4% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 7-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -4.3% to -3.1% | 1 |
| -3.1% to -1.8% | 1 |
| -1.8% to -0.6% | 0 |
| -0.6% to +0.7% | 1 |
| +0.7% to +1.9% | 1 |
| +1.9% to +3.2% | 0 |
| +3.2% to +4.4% | 0 |
| +4.4% to +5.7% | 0 |
| +5.7% to +6.9% | 3 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
7 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | 6.42 | $10.50 | -2.29% | -3.07% | -4.32% | -7.03% | -2.54% | -11.58% |
| 2026-02-25 | 6.62 | $8.56 | +1.88% | +2.10% | +6.94% | +7.07% | +11.16% | +16.60% |
| 2026-02-09 | 6.90 | $8.32 | +2.99% | +0.90% | +0.77% | -1.69% | +10.14% | +23.31% |
| 2026-02-07 | 15.96 | $7.91 | -1.52% | +8.42% | +6.24% | +9.69% | +13.46% | +30.21% |
| 2025-12-31 | 6.49 | $9.15 | +5.04% | +3.80% | -1.89% | -0.77% | -0.18% | +6.72% |
| 2025-12-20 | 17.51 | $7.98 | +7.11% | +3.73% | +6.52% | +19.03% | +14.92% | +16.33% |
| 2025-11-08 | 5.84 | $9.18 | -0.88% | +0.04% | +0.23% | +2.63% | +6.18% | -25.75% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-02-25: +6.94%
- 2025-12-20: +6.52%
- 2026-02-07: +6.24%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-04-02: -4.32%
- 2025-12-31: -1.89%
- 2025-11-08: +0.23%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 1 day(s) rises to or above 5%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.