Transparent historical data
What Happens to LEO Token After a 2x Volume Spike?
This study currently has no completed 7-day observations in the locally stored LEO Token dataset.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 90-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -9.5% to -5.6% | 4 |
| -5.6% to -1.7% | 7 |
| -1.7% to +2.2% | 1 |
| +2.2% to +6.1% | 1 |
| +6.1% to +9.9% | 0 |
| +9.9% to +13.8% | 4 |
| +13.8% to +17.7% | 3 |
| +17.7% to +21.6% | 1 |
| +21.6% to +25.5% | 2 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
29 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | 2.13 | $8.83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-08 | 2.81 | $9.21 | -0.14% | -0.33% | -2.33% | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-15 | 4.50 | $9.18 | -2.48% | +2.45% | +1.59% | +2.70% | -1.48% | — |
| 2026-08-13 | 4.07 | $9.08 | +4.61% | -1.41% | +2.49% | +1.72% | +0.83% | — |
| 2026-07-01 | 2.08 | $9.28 | -0.49% | -1.25% | +0.85% | +4.67% | +5.42% | — |
| 2026-06-27 | 2.32 | $9.27 | +1.59% | +3.05% | -1.15% | +1.72% | +4.85% | — |
| 2026-06-08 | 2.04 | $9.58 | -1.73% | +0.38% | +2.21% | +0.14% | -2.35% | -3.20% |
| 2026-06-06 | 6.29 | $9.56 | -1.06% | -1.46% | +0.48% | -0.37% | -3.02% | -2.13% |
| 2026-05-22 | 3.00 | $9.87 | +0.93% | +1.57% | +1.77% | +0.75% | -2.73% | -5.73% |
| 2026-05-19 | 3.39 | $10.11 | -1.74% | -2.36% | -1.23% | -0.88% | -4.24% | -7.71% |
| 2026-05-11 | 2.31 | $10.06 | -1.41% | -0.01% | +0.35% | -0.33% | -5.88% | -3.47% |
| 2026-04-21 | 2.57 | $10.22 | +1.31% | -2.79% | +1.34% | -1.61% | -2.09% | -4.14% |
| 2026-04-01 | 2.45 | $9.86 | +6.42% | +2.30% | +6.96% | +0.09% | +4.02% | -3.13% |
| 2026-03-06 | 2.22 | $9.02 | -0.02% | -0.59% | +0.16% | +2.83% | +12.76% | +10.82% |
| 2026-02-24 | 2.90 | $8.03 | +6.62% | +7.95% | +12.49% | +14.02% | +16.44% | +24.82% |
| 2026-02-21 | 2.40 | $8.67 | -3.66% | -7.41% | +0.79% | +4.02% | +7.08% | +13.79% |
| 2026-02-19 | 2.10 | $8.51 | +1.40% | -1.84% | +2.48% | +6.09% | +6.71% | +16.68% |
| 2026-02-14 | 2.28 | $8.40 | +1.85% | +0.39% | +3.25% | +4.06% | +7.75% | +20.83% |
| 2026-02-01 | 2.64 | $8.78 | -4.35% | +0.88% | -11.30% | -2.54% | +2.90% | +16.54% |
| 2026-01-28 | 2.26 | $9.08 | +1.18% | +0.73% | -2.46% | -4.03% | -4.53% | +14.10% |
| 2026-01-20 | 2.39 | $8.97 | -2.49% | -1.95% | +1.34% | -4.50% | -5.07% | +11.24% |
| 2026-01-17 | 17.57 | $8.89 | +1.76% | +0.80% | -0.01% | +2.83% | -5.69% | +12.19% |
| 2026-01-01 | 2.12 | $9.61 | -0.19% | -3.83% | -4.40% | -9.42% | -4.81% | +2.66% |
| 2025-12-18 | 7.13 | $7.22 | -6.04% | +18.25% | +12.43% | +32.98% | +23.11% | +25.47% |
| 2025-11-11 | 2.98 | $9.18 | +0.62% | -0.12% | -0.28% | +4.99% | +3.76% | -9.39% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-02-24: +12.49%
- 2025-12-18: +12.43%
- 2026-04-01: +6.96%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-02-01: -11.30%
- 2025-10-17: -6.69%
- 2026-01-01: -4.40%
How this study works
Daily volume is compared with the median of the preceding 30 complete observations.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.