Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 2x Volume Spike
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 2x volume spike, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for LEO Token
29 historical signal(s) detected for LEO Token; 19 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (10 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
1 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $9.6101 | $9.4806 | -1.35% | 98.65 |
| 2025-11-01 | 2025-11-08 | $9.5257 | $9.1813 | -3.61% | 95.09 |
| 2025-11-11 | 2025-11-18 | $9.1848 | $9.1586 | -0.28% | 94.82 |
| 2025-12-18 | 2025-12-25 | $7.2240 | $8.1218 | +12.43% | 106.60 |
| 2026-01-01 | 2026-01-08 | $9.6066 | $9.1834 | -4.40% | 101.90 |
| 2026-01-17 | 2026-01-24 | $8.8935 | $8.8927 | -0.01% | 101.90 |
| 2026-01-28 | 2026-02-04 | $9.0787 | $8.8553 | -2.46% | 99.39 |
| 2026-02-14 | 2026-02-21 | $8.3992 | $8.6720 | +3.25% | 102.62 |
| 2026-02-21 | 2026-02-28 | $8.6720 | $8.7405 | +0.79% | 103.43 |
| 2026-03-06 | 2026-03-13 | $9.0226 | $9.0370 | +0.16% | 103.59 |
| 2026-04-01 | 2026-04-08 | $9.8623 | $10.5483 | +6.96% | 110.80 |
| 2026-04-21 | 2026-04-28 | $10.2222 | $10.3591 | +1.34% | 112.28 |
| 2026-05-11 | 2026-05-18 | $10.0557 | $10.0906 | +0.35% | 112.67 |
| 2026-05-19 | 2026-05-26 | $10.1061 | $9.9820 | -1.23% | 111.29 |
| 2026-06-06 | 2026-06-13 | $9.5566 | $9.6023 | +0.48% | 111.82 |
| 2026-06-27 | 2026-07-04 | $9.2707 | $9.1639 | -1.15% | 110.53 |
| 2026-08-13 | 2026-08-20 | $9.0768 | $9.3024 | +2.49% | 113.28 |
| 2026-09-08 | 2026-09-15 | $9.2124 | $8.9975 | -2.33% | 110.64 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for LEO Token · Read the full methodology