Transparent historical data
What Happens to LEO Token After a 15% Seven-Day Drop?
LEO Token has recorded 2 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 17.23% and 100.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 90-day outcomes
Not enough completed data yet for a distribution chart.
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 2 | 4.96% | 4.96% | 50.0% | 15.96% | -6.04% |
| 3 days | 2 | 20.16% | 20.16% | 100.0% | 22.08% | 18.25% |
| 7 days | 2 | 17.23% | 17.23% | 100.0% | 22.04% | 12.43% |
| 14 days | 2 | 29.78% | 29.78% | 100.0% | 32.98% | 26.58% |
| 30 days | 2 | 27.42% | 27.42% | 100.0% | 31.73% | 23.11% |
| 90 days | 2 | 37.74% | 37.74% | 100.0% | 50.01% | 25.47% |
Historical occurrences
2 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 | -25.32 | $6.82 | +15.96% | +22.08% | +22.04% | +26.58% | +31.73% | +50.01% |
| 2025-12-18 | -24.20 | $7.22 | -6.04% | +18.25% | +12.43% | +32.98% | +23.11% | +25.47% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-02-06: +22.04%
- 2025-12-18: +12.43%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-12-18: +12.43%
- 2026-02-06: +22.04%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 7 day(s) falls to or below -15%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.