Transparent historical data
What Happens to LEO Token After a 1.5x Volume Spike?
LEO Token has recorded 42 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 0.25% and 52.4% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 90-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -10.1% to -6.1% | 6 |
| -6.1% to -2.2% | 8 |
| -2.2% to +1.8% | 2 |
| +1.8% to +5.7% | 3 |
| +5.7% to +9.7% | 0 |
| +9.7% to +13.6% | 5 |
| +13.6% to +17.6% | 4 |
| +17.6% to +21.5% | 2 |
| +21.5% to +25.5% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 42 | 0.01% | 0.03% | 50.0% | 6.42% | -6.04% |
| 3 days | 42 | -0.05% | -0.34% | 45.2% | 18.25% | -21.62% |
| 7 days | 42 | 0.25% | -0.23% | 52.4% | 12.43% | -12.08% |
| 14 days | 40 | 0.03% | 0.39% | 50.0% | 32.98% | -11.10% |
| 30 days | 38 | -1.50% | 0.54% | 47.4% | 23.11% | -14.00% |
| 90 days | 31 | -1.88% | 3.30% | 48.4% | 25.47% | -10.10% |
Historical occurrences
43 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | 2.13 | $8.83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-08 | 2.81 | $9.21 | -0.14% | -0.33% | -2.33% | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-04 | 1.69 | $9.35 | -1.79% | +0.00% | -1.83% | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-02 | 1.61 | $9.39 | -1.54% | -2.16% | -2.02% | -5.93% | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 | 1.86 | $9.30 | -0.26% | +0.92% | -0.74% | -0.63% | — | — |
| 2026-08-15 | 4.50 | $9.18 | -2.48% | +2.45% | +1.59% | +2.70% | -1.48% | — |
| 2026-08-13 | 4.07 | $9.08 | +4.61% | -1.41% | +2.49% | +1.72% | +0.83% | — |
| 2026-08-09 | 1.71 | $9.71 | +0.05% | -3.02% | -7.82% | -3.29% | -5.10% | — |
| 2026-07-10 | 1.71 | $9.55 | -1.29% | -0.05% | +2.65% | +1.77% | +1.61% | — |
| 2026-07-01 | 2.08 | $9.28 | -0.49% | -1.25% | +0.85% | +4.67% | +5.42% | — |
| 2026-06-26 | 1.87 | $9.34 | -0.73% | +0.91% | -2.38% | +2.29% | +3.98% | — |
| 2026-06-23 | 1.60 | $9.58 | -0.41% | -2.48% | -0.24% | -1.73% | +1.20% | — |
| 2026-06-06 | 6.29 | $9.56 | -1.06% | -1.46% | +0.48% | -0.37% | -3.02% | -2.13% |
| 2026-05-29 | 1.70 | $10.04 | -0.51% | -0.21% | -1.00% | -5.26% | -6.22% | -8.06% |
| 2026-05-26 | 1.55 | $9.98 | +0.20% | +0.61% | +0.35% | -5.66% | -5.44% | -4.88% |
| 2026-05-22 | 3.00 | $9.87 | +0.93% | +1.57% | +1.77% | +0.75% | -2.73% | -5.73% |
| 2026-05-17 | 1.97 | $9.92 | +1.76% | +0.15% | +1.86% | +1.54% | -1.64% | -7.46% |
| 2026-05-11 | 2.31 | $10.06 | -1.41% | -0.01% | +0.35% | -0.33% | -5.88% | -3.47% |
| 2026-04-27 | 1.61 | $10.44 | -0.73% | -1.80% | -1.06% | -3.64% | -4.15% | -6.95% |
| 2026-04-21 | 2.57 | $10.22 | +1.31% | -2.79% | +1.34% | -1.61% | -2.09% | -4.14% |
| 2026-04-01 | 2.45 | $9.86 | +6.42% | +2.30% | +6.96% | +0.09% | +4.02% | -3.13% |
| 2026-03-11 | 1.52 | $9.17 | -0.62% | -1.52% | -1.12% | +2.22% | +9.45% | +2.73% |
| 2026-03-06 | 2.22 | $9.02 | -0.02% | -0.59% | +0.16% | +2.83% | +12.76% | +10.82% |
| 2026-02-21 | 2.40 | $8.67 | -3.66% | -7.41% | +0.79% | +4.02% | +7.08% | +13.79% |
| 2026-02-19 | 2.10 | $8.51 | +1.40% | -1.84% | +2.48% | +6.09% | +6.71% | +16.68% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-12-18: +12.43%
- 2026-04-01: +6.96%
- 2025-11-07: +5.76%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-12-15: -12.08%
- 2026-02-01: -11.30%
- 2026-08-09: -7.82%
How this study works
Daily volume is compared with the median of the preceding 30 complete observations.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.