Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 1.5x Volume Spike
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 1.5x volume spike, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for LEO Token
43 historical signal(s) detected for LEO Token; 25 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (18 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
1 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $9.6101 | $9.4806 | -1.35% | 98.65 |
| 2025-11-01 | 2025-11-08 | $9.5257 | $9.1813 | -3.61% | 95.09 |
| 2025-11-11 | 2025-11-18 | $9.1848 | $9.1586 | -0.28% | 94.82 |
| 2025-11-22 | 2025-11-29 | $9.4225 | $9.7548 | +3.53% | 98.16 |
| 2025-12-15 | 2025-12-22 | $9.2162 | $8.1029 | -12.08% | 86.30 |
| 2026-01-01 | 2026-01-08 | $9.6066 | $9.1834 | -4.40% | 82.50 |
| 2026-01-15 | 2026-01-22 | $8.7017 | $8.8379 | +1.56% | 83.79 |
| 2026-01-24 | 2026-01-31 | $8.8927 | $9.1449 | +2.84% | 86.17 |
| 2026-02-01 | 2026-02-08 | $8.7779 | $7.7856 | -11.30% | 76.43 |
| 2026-02-12 | 2026-02-19 | $8.3979 | $8.5109 | +1.35% | 77.46 |
| 2026-02-19 | 2026-02-26 | $8.5109 | $8.7219 | +2.48% | 79.38 |
| 2026-03-06 | 2026-03-13 | $9.0226 | $9.0370 | +0.16% | 79.50 |
| 2026-04-01 | 2026-04-08 | $9.8623 | $10.5483 | +6.96% | 85.03 |
| 2026-04-21 | 2026-04-28 | $10.2222 | $10.3591 | +1.34% | 86.17 |
| 2026-05-11 | 2026-05-18 | $10.0557 | $10.0906 | +0.35% | 86.47 |
| 2026-05-22 | 2026-05-29 | $9.8675 | $10.0425 | +1.77% | 88.00 |
| 2026-05-29 | 2026-06-05 | $10.0425 | $9.9417 | -1.00% | 87.12 |
| 2026-06-06 | 2026-06-13 | $9.5566 | $9.6023 | +0.48% | 87.54 |
| 2026-06-23 | 2026-06-30 | $9.5771 | $9.5538 | -0.24% | 87.32 |
| 2026-07-01 | 2026-07-08 | $9.2800 | $9.3585 | +0.85% | 88.06 |
| 2026-07-10 | 2026-07-17 | $9.5534 | $9.8067 | +2.65% | 90.40 |
| 2026-08-09 | 2026-08-16 | $9.7070 | $8.9484 | -7.82% | 83.33 |
| 2026-08-20 | 2026-08-27 | $9.3024 | $9.2331 | -0.74% | 82.71 |
| 2026-09-02 | 2026-09-09 | $9.3887 | $9.1993 | -2.02% | 81.05 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for LEO Token · Read the full methodology