Transparent historical data
What Happens to Hyperliquid When Fear & Greed Falls Below 10?
This study currently has no completed 7-day observations in the locally stored Hyperliquid dataset.
Source: Alternative.me Crypto Fear & Greed Index and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 3-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -10.7% to -7.5% | 1 |
| -7.5% to -4.4% | 0 |
| -4.4% to -1.2% | 1 |
| -1.2% to +1.9% | 1 |
| +1.9% to +5.1% | 2 |
| +5.1% to +8.2% | 0 |
| +8.2% to +11.4% | 0 |
| +11.4% to +14.5% | 0 |
| +14.5% to +17.7% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
6 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 | 8.00 | $59.61 | +6.99% | -10.66% | +7.17% | +12.32% | +16.07% | +43.27% |
| 2026-03-22 | 10.00 | $38.90 | -1.38% | +3.71% | +1.49% | -6.43% | +4.69% | +80.68% |
| 2026-03-09 | 8.00 | $30.80 | +12.53% | +17.69% | +21.62% | +24.54% | +25.83% | +83.75% |
| 2026-03-02 | 10.00 | $31.62 | +3.95% | +1.92% | -2.58% | +18.48% | +15.43% | +115.87% |
| 2026-02-06 | 9.00 | $33.01 | -1.85% | -1.60% | -5.62% | -11.91% | -7.94% | +30.60% |
| 2025-11-15 | 10.00 | $37.50 | +2.82% | +4.07% | -9.71% | -6.95% | -23.00% | -16.93% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-03-09: +21.62%
- 2026-06-08: +7.17%
- 2026-03-22: +1.49%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-11-15: -9.71%
- 2026-02-06: -5.62%
- 2026-03-02: -2.58%
How this study works
Daily Fear & Greed observations satisfying the inclusive threshold are grouped into episodes, then returns are measured from the target asset's same-date price.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.