Historical rule simulator
Backtest: When Fear & Greed Falls Below 10
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy when fear & greed falls below 10, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Hyperliquid
6 historical signal(s) detected for Hyperliquid; 6 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (0 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | 2025-11-22 | $37.5015 | $33.8616 | -9.71% | 90.29 |
| 2026-02-06 | 2026-02-13 | $33.0075 | $31.1509 | -5.62% | 85.22 |
| 2026-03-02 | 2026-03-09 | $31.6166 | $30.8013 | -2.58% | 83.02 |
| 2026-03-09 | 2026-03-16 | $30.8013 | $37.4602 | +21.62% | 100.97 |
| 2026-03-22 | 2026-03-29 | $38.8966 | $39.4768 | +1.49% | 102.47 |
| 2026-06-08 | 2026-06-15 | $59.6133 | $63.8873 | +7.17% | 109.82 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Hyperliquid · Read the full methodology