Transparent historical data
What Happens to Hyperliquid After a 30% 30-Day Correction?
Hyperliquid has recorded 5 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -4.17% and 20.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 90-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -32.8% to -23.4% | 3 |
| -23.4% to -13.9% | 0 |
| -13.9% to -4.5% | 0 |
| -4.5% to +5.0% | 0 |
| +5.0% to +14.4% | 0 |
| +14.4% to +23.9% | 0 |
| +23.9% to +33.3% | 1 |
| +33.3% to +42.8% | 0 |
| +42.8% to +52.2% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
5 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 | -30.60 | $26.78 | -8.62% | -7.12% | -10.54% | -3.13% | -7.40% | +52.24% |
| 2025-12-10 | -33.02 | $27.95 | +3.33% | +2.37% | -4.17% | -14.27% | -8.14% | +24.02% |
| 2025-10-22 | -30.41 | $35.38 | +2.52% | +11.16% | +35.03% | +10.63% | +6.32% | -32.80% |
| 2025-10-16 | -30.72 | $37.41 | -1.70% | -1.42% | -3.04% | +28.21% | +0.26% | -30.92% |
| 2025-10-11 | -31.21 | $38.12 | -3.20% | +11.42% | -6.95% | +3.17% | +9.47% | -32.65% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-10-22: +35.03%
- 2025-10-16: -3.04%
- 2025-12-10: -4.17%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-12-17: -10.54%
- 2025-10-11: -6.95%
- 2025-12-10: -4.17%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 30 day(s) falls to or below -30%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.