Transparent historical data
What Happens to Hyperliquid After a 3% One-Day Drop?
This study currently has no completed 7-day observations in the locally stored Hyperliquid dataset.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 14-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -32.9% to -22.2% | 2 |
| -22.2% to -11.5% | 13 |
| -11.5% to -0.8% | 13 |
| -0.8% to +9.9% | 23 |
| +9.9% to +20.5% | 3 |
| +20.5% to +31.2% | 5 |
| +31.2% to +41.9% | 2 |
| +41.9% to +52.6% | 2 |
| +52.6% to +63.3% | 2 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
69 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | -4.26 | $76.92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-11 | -5.99 | $78.56 | +1.12% | -1.53% | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-08 | -3.19 | $85.14 | -0.01% | -7.73% | -5.64% | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-05 | -3.46 | $84.43 | +1.16% | +0.85% | -5.91% | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-31 | -4.01 | $80.05 | +5.14% | +2.34% | +9.88% | -3.36% | — | — |
| 2026-08-29 | -4.44 | $80.92 | +3.06% | +4.01% | +4.34% | -1.83% | — | — |
| 2026-08-25 | -4.09 | $78.88 | +0.96% | +7.35% | +6.69% | +7.94% | — | — |
| 2026-08-08 | -3.69 | $54.08 | +1.89% | +1.78% | +4.41% | +39.61% | +62.64% | — |
| 2026-08-01 | -5.94 | $52.52 | -0.70% | +2.74% | +2.96% | +7.50% | +52.40% | — |
| 2026-07-28 | -5.98 | $56.04 | -1.62% | -0.35% | -3.71% | -1.78% | +46.85% | — |
| 2026-07-24 | -3.11 | $57.51 | -0.16% | +3.65% | -2.90% | -2.36% | +38.22% | — |
| 2026-07-17 | -9.19 | $60.69 | -1.56% | +0.70% | -5.24% | -7.98% | -6.30% | — |
| 2026-07-14 | -5.74 | $63.44 | +3.22% | -4.34% | -1.61% | -11.66% | -11.67% | — |
| 2026-07-02 | -4.03 | $62.35 | +7.24% | +11.97% | +8.41% | +7.18% | -15.76% | — |
| 2026-06-28 | -4.17 | $61.62 | -0.33% | +5.43% | +13.30% | +8.43% | -9.06% | — |
| 2026-06-24 | -6.16 | $62.12 | +2.75% | +3.52% | +4.59% | +11.40% | -7.42% | — |
| 2026-06-22 | -5.32 | $66.96 | -1.14% | -4.68% | -8.27% | +6.44% | -9.15% | — |
| 2026-06-18 | -3.32 | $71.11 | -4.00% | -0.54% | -10.24% | -12.32% | -15.99% | +8.17% |
| 2026-06-10 | -9.44 | $57.76 | -7.79% | +2.64% | +27.35% | +7.54% | +16.14% | +47.41% |
| 2026-06-05 | -13.61 | $64.37 | -7.23% | -7.38% | -8.48% | +6.06% | +8.47% | +27.27% |
| 2026-06-03 | -5.12 | $69.73 | +6.84% | -14.37% | -17.17% | +5.48% | -4.11% | +20.68% |
| 2026-05-23 | -6.67 | $54.68 | +7.29% | +11.78% | +17.79% | +9.20% | +22.45% | +34.69% |
| 2026-05-17 | -5.36 | $41.80 | +9.31% | +15.00% | +40.36% | +63.28% | +60.02% | +35.08% |
| 2026-05-13 | -4.20 | $40.24 | -3.54% | +9.76% | +19.45% | +47.84% | +46.39% | +36.79% |
| 2026-04-29 | -3.58 | $40.16 | -0.52% | +2.43% | +8.87% | +0.20% | +53.32% | +39.54% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-01-21: +45.94%
- 2026-05-17: +40.36%
- 2026-01-26: +37.49%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-09-20: -20.12%
- 2026-06-03: -17.17%
- 2025-10-10: -16.54%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 1 day(s) falls to or below -3%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.