Transparent historical data
What Happens to Hyperliquid After a 20% 30-Day Correction?
Hyperliquid has recorded 10 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 5.85% and 60.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 3-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -4.9% to -2.1% | 2 |
| -2.1% to +0.6% | 0 |
| +0.6% to +3.4% | 1 |
| +3.4% to +6.2% | 2 |
| +6.2% to +8.9% | 1 |
| +8.9% to +11.7% | 2 |
| +11.7% to +14.4% | 1 |
| +14.4% to +17.2% | 0 |
| +17.2% to +19.9% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 10 | 1.18% | 2.59% | 60.0% | 14.14% | -3.20% |
| 3 days | 10 | 6.56% | 6.69% | 80.0% | 19.94% | -4.88% |
| 7 days | 10 | 5.85% | 2.91% | 60.0% | 14.69% | -7.88% |
| 14 days | 10 | 3.19% | 7.27% | 70.0% | 52.71% | -19.72% |
| 30 days | 10 | 2.35% | 12.39% | 50.0% | 61.36% | -25.44% |
| 90 days | 8 | 1.98% | 22.87% | 62.5% | 124.71% | -32.65% |
Historical occurrences
10 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | -20.15 | $53.85 | +2.21% | +4.05% | +6.06% | +52.71% | +58.09% | — |
| 2026-08-02 | -22.00 | $52.16 | +0.76% | +5.51% | +5.64% | +9.03% | +61.36% | — |
| 2026-02-28 | -20.06 | $27.40 | +14.14% | +19.94% | +13.40% | +33.11% | +37.99% | +124.71% |
| 2026-01-02 | -28.57 | $24.20 | +1.61% | +10.36% | +6.09% | +2.48% | +28.16% | +48.86% |
| 2025-12-24 | -24.65 | $23.96 | +5.02% | +7.62% | +8.28% | +17.78% | -9.99% | +55.99% |
| 2025-12-08 | -29.82 | $29.63 | -0.53% | -2.54% | -2.54% | -16.46% | -4.76% | +2.55% |
| 2025-12-06 | -25.02 | $30.98 | -0.12% | -4.88% | -7.67% | -19.72% | -13.81% | -1.25% |
| 2025-11-25 | -23.78 | $33.75 | -0.04% | +2.89% | -7.88% | -12.67% | -25.44% | -16.69% |
| 2025-11-23 | -25.33 | $29.99 | +6.04% | +12.50% | +14.69% | +3.21% | -17.12% | +1.40% |
| 2025-10-11 | -31.21 | $38.12 | -3.20% | +11.42% | -6.95% | +3.17% | +9.47% | -32.65% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-11-23: +14.69%
- 2026-02-28: +13.40%
- 2025-12-24: +8.28%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-11-25: -7.88%
- 2025-12-06: -7.67%
- 2025-10-11: -6.95%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 30 day(s) falls to or below -20%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.