Transparent historical data
What Happens to Hyperliquid After a 10% Seven-Day Drop?
This study currently has no completed 7-day observations in the locally stored Hyperliquid dataset.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 90-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -47.6% to -27.1% | 3 |
| -27.1% to -6.5% | 2 |
| -6.5% to +14.0% | 2 |
| +14.0% to +34.6% | 1 |
| +34.6% to +55.1% | 2 |
| +55.1% to +75.7% | 3 |
| +75.7% to +96.2% | 2 |
| +96.2% to +116.8% | 0 |
| +116.8% to +137.4% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
25 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | -12.05 | $77.36 | +3.85% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-11 | -10.17 | $78.56 | +1.12% | -1.53% | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-02 | -10.27 | $52.16 | +0.76% | +5.51% | +5.64% | +9.03% | +61.36% | — |
| 2026-07-28 | -10.22 | $56.04 | -1.62% | -0.35% | -3.71% | -1.78% | +46.85% | — |
| 2026-07-23 | -11.18 | $59.36 | -3.11% | -2.08% | -9.24% | -4.11% | +27.19% | — |
| 2026-07-18 | -11.43 | $59.74 | +0.76% | +4.49% | -3.89% | -12.08% | -4.39% | — |
| 2026-07-14 | -10.10 | $63.44 | +3.22% | -4.34% | -1.61% | -11.66% | -11.67% | — |
| 2026-06-28 | -12.87 | $61.62 | -0.33% | +5.43% | +13.30% | +8.43% | -9.06% | — |
| 2026-06-24 | -15.55 | $62.12 | +2.75% | +3.52% | +4.59% | +11.40% | -7.42% | — |
| 2026-06-07 | -17.07 | $56.60 | +5.33% | +2.05% | +7.23% | +24.96% | +24.68% | +49.17% |
| 2026-04-02 | -10.68 | $36.02 | -2.17% | +1.04% | +7.48% | +24.05% | +14.21% | +80.37% |
| 2026-02-24 | -15.42 | $26.46 | +2.83% | +6.60% | +24.23% | +31.01% | +52.42% | +137.35% |
| 2026-02-11 | -11.31 | $28.84 | +2.10% | +9.60% | +2.56% | -5.68% | +29.15% | +45.62% |
| 2026-01-21 | -18.38 | $21.09 | +2.51% | +7.66% | +45.94% | +54.19% | +37.86% | +93.05% |
| 2026-01-13 | -10.06 | $23.83 | +8.44% | +4.07% | -0.23% | +4.89% | +23.58% | +71.50% |
| 2025-12-24 | -10.54 | $23.96 | +5.02% | +7.62% | +8.28% | +17.78% | -9.99% | +55.99% |
| 2025-12-18 | -15.26 | $24.47 | -7.93% | -1.97% | +2.82% | +3.96% | +2.64% | +68.51% |
| 2025-12-10 | -17.50 | $27.95 | +3.33% | +2.37% | -4.17% | -14.27% | -8.14% | +24.02% |
| 2025-12-06 | -11.21 | $30.98 | -0.12% | -4.88% | -7.67% | -19.72% | -13.81% | -1.25% |
| 2025-11-23 | -22.23 | $29.99 | +6.04% | +12.50% | +14.69% | +3.21% | -17.12% | +1.40% |
| 2025-11-15 | -11.18 | $37.50 | +2.82% | +4.07% | -9.71% | -6.95% | -23.00% | -16.93% |
| 2025-11-03 | -10.22 | $42.47 | -5.56% | -2.71% | -1.76% | -9.14% | -20.25% | -26.99% |
| 2025-10-21 | -10.73 | $37.91 | -6.69% | +5.93% | +22.78% | +5.80% | +2.19% | -35.67% |
| 2025-10-10 | -13.03 | $44.05 | -13.48% | -9.77% | -16.54% | -8.84% | -9.08% | -39.09% |
| 2025-09-23 | -12.49 | $47.25 | -5.53% | -14.22% | -2.20% | +0.40% | -23.24% | -47.61% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-01-21: +45.94%
- 2026-02-24: +24.23%
- 2025-10-21: +22.78%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-10-10: -16.54%
- 2025-11-15: -9.71%
- 2026-07-23: -9.24%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 7 day(s) falls to or below -10%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.