Transparent historical data
What Happens to Dogecoin After Negative Funding?
Dogecoin has recorded 67 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -3.96% and 32.8% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Binance USDⓈ-M Futures and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 7-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -25.1% to -18.5% | 1 |
| -18.5% to -11.9% | 10 |
| -11.9% to -5.3% | 17 |
| -5.3% to +1.3% | 19 |
| +1.3% to +7.9% | 15 |
| +7.9% to +14.5% | 3 |
| +14.5% to +21.1% | 1 |
| +21.1% to +27.7% | 0 |
| +27.7% to +34.3% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 68 | -0.90% | -1.11% | 39.7% | 5.55% | -10.37% |
| 3 days | 68 | -1.71% | -1.90% | 41.2% | 10.50% | -21.66% |
| 7 days | 67 | -3.96% | -3.34% | 32.8% | 34.30% | -25.07% |
| 14 days | 66 | -6.06% | -5.71% | 27.3% | 25.94% | -29.08% |
| 30 days | 66 | -10.33% | -9.28% | 25.8% | 25.44% | -35.72% |
| 90 days | 54 | -28.93% | -27.31% | 9.3% | 11.11% | -54.01% |
Historical occurrences
68 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | -0.00 | $0.08 | -2.80% | -5.61% | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-09 | -0.00 | $0.09 | -4.31% | -6.40% | -11.10% | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-17 | -0.00 | $0.07 | +1.18% | +7.87% | +34.30% | +18.02% | +15.13% | — |
| 2026-08-13 | -0.00 | $0.07 | +0.71% | -0.09% | +7.73% | +25.94% | +21.06% | — |
| 2026-08-06 | -0.00 | $0.07 | -1.38% | +0.56% | -0.53% | +7.16% | +21.15% | — |
| 2026-08-02 | -0.01 | $0.07 | +2.37% | +1.35% | +1.87% | +0.68% | +19.87% | — |
| 2026-07-28 | -0.00 | $0.07 | +0.72% | +0.34% | -0.24% | -0.97% | +24.68% | — |
| 2026-07-23 | -0.00 | $0.07 | -5.20% | -1.75% | -3.96% | -4.07% | +25.44% | — |
| 2026-07-20 | -0.00 | $0.07 | -0.35% | +0.83% | +1.32% | -2.26% | -2.97% | — |
| 2026-07-17 | -0.01 | $0.07 | +0.25% | +0.02% | -4.39% | -2.46% | -3.85% | — |
| 2026-07-12 | -0.00 | $0.07 | -0.66% | +1.69% | -0.94% | -2.04% | -4.83% | — |
| 2026-07-07 | -0.00 | $0.08 | -3.14% | -4.89% | -6.10% | -5.86% | -8.62% | — |
| 2026-06-27 | -0.00 | $0.08 | -1.68% | -3.14% | +2.40% | -2.13% | -3.12% | — |
| 2026-06-23 | -0.00 | $0.08 | -4.31% | -9.13% | -10.99% | -6.99% | -11.41% | — |
| 2026-06-16 | -0.00 | $0.09 | -1.13% | -5.26% | -6.51% | -16.79% | -15.95% | -6.42% |
| 2026-06-12 | -0.00 | $0.09 | -0.03% | +3.35% | -2.94% | -12.97% | -14.89% | +0.20% |
| 2026-06-09 | -0.01 | $0.09 | -1.81% | -0.37% | +2.07% | -4.58% | -16.15% | +5.27% |
| 2026-06-07 | -0.01 | $0.08 | +5.31% | +3.51% | +7.29% | +2.16% | -6.44% | +3.57% |
| 2026-06-02 | -0.00 | $0.10 | -8.25% | -12.34% | -14.50% | -12.73% | -28.54% | -18.71% |
| 2026-05-30 | -0.00 | $0.10 | +0.95% | +1.32% | -18.22% | -13.71% | -26.64% | -10.52% |
| 2026-05-27 | -0.00 | $0.10 | -0.60% | -1.31% | -8.25% | -16.05% | -25.86% | -10.79% |
| 2026-05-23 | -0.00 | $0.10 | +0.71% | -0.18% | -2.54% | -20.30% | -19.62% | -21.29% |
| 2026-05-18 | -0.00 | $0.11 | -3.87% | -4.88% | -6.13% | -7.90% | -20.02% | -36.12% |
| 2026-05-14 | -0.01 | $0.11 | +2.39% | -2.93% | -8.04% | -10.92% | -23.68% | -36.22% |
| 2026-05-10 | -0.00 | $0.11 | +3.48% | +1.20% | +0.53% | -5.34% | -20.65% | -36.00% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-08-17: +34.30%
- 2025-12-29: +21.09%
- 2026-02-08: +13.08%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-10-04: -25.07%
- 2026-05-30: -18.22%
- 2025-10-06: -17.92%
How this study works
Each Binance funding rate is normalized to an eight-hour equivalent. An episode begins when that rate is below 0%. Consecutive qualifying funding intervals are grouped, and returns begin from the exact UTC date of the first qualifying interval.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.