Transparent historical data
What Happens to Dogecoin After Funding Rises to +0.01%?
Dogecoin has recorded 55 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -0.95% and 47.3% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Binance USDⓈ-M Futures and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 30-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -32.8% to -25.9% | 5 |
| -25.9% to -18.9% | 8 |
| -18.9% to -11.9% | 7 |
| -11.9% to -4.9% | 5 |
| -4.9% to +2.0% | 9 |
| +2.0% to +9.0% | 4 |
| +9.0% to +16.0% | 6 |
| +16.0% to +23.0% | 6 |
| +23.0% to +29.9% | 2 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 57 | 0.50% | 0.71% | 57.9% | 10.88% | -6.18% |
| 3 days | 56 | -0.31% | 0.42% | 48.2% | 30.35% | -27.50% |
| 7 days | 55 | -0.95% | -0.09% | 47.3% | 30.74% | -23.17% |
| 14 days | 54 | -3.37% | -2.13% | 38.9% | 25.38% | -26.82% |
| 30 days | 52 | -3.40% | -4.51% | 40.4% | 29.95% | -32.84% |
| 90 days | 43 | -24.25% | -26.01% | 0.0% | -0.35% | -54.75% |
Historical occurrences
57 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | 0.01 | $0.08 | -4.28% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-12 | 0.01 | $0.08 | +0.63% | -0.77% | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-09 | 0.01 | $0.09 | -4.31% | -6.40% | -11.10% | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-01 | 0.01 | $0.08 | -1.42% | +6.03% | +9.26% | +0.99% | — | — |
| 2026-08-19 | 0.01 | $0.07 | +6.82% | +30.35% | +22.02% | +16.28% | — | — |
| 2026-08-15 | 0.01 | $0.07 | -0.64% | +0.50% | +30.74% | +21.74% | +17.76% | — |
| 2026-08-07 | 0.01 | $0.07 | +0.85% | +0.45% | +1.59% | +16.57% | +29.95% | — |
| 2026-08-01 | 0.01 | $0.07 | -0.64% | +0.90% | +0.10% | +0.68% | +18.01% | — |
| 2026-07-26 | 0.01 | $0.07 | +2.28% | -1.19% | -3.62% | -1.82% | +25.62% | — |
| 2026-07-21 | 0.01 | $0.07 | +1.67% | -4.08% | -2.47% | -2.71% | +4.01% | — |
| 2026-07-16 | 0.01 | $0.07 | -2.29% | -2.09% | -1.46% | -5.36% | -5.45% | — |
| 2026-07-14 | 0.01 | $0.07 | +3.46% | +0.58% | +0.25% | -2.23% | -3.20% | — |
| 2026-07-11 | 0.01 | $0.07 | -1.20% | -2.89% | -2.08% | -6.15% | -6.40% | — |
| 2026-07-02 | 0.01 | $0.07 | +2.74% | +7.58% | +0.33% | +2.65% | -3.60% | — |
| 2026-06-17 | 0.01 | $0.09 | -1.43% | -4.20% | -9.52% | -17.35% | -16.94% | -3.98% |
| 2026-06-13 | 0.01 | $0.09 | +2.18% | +2.48% | -2.93% | -11.96% | -15.43% | -3.58% |
| 2026-06-01 | 0.01 | $0.10 | +0.65% | -8.94% | -14.03% | -11.40% | -28.22% | -14.97% |
| 2026-05-29 | 0.01 | $0.10 | +0.15% | +0.82% | -11.05% | -13.56% | -25.20% | -11.86% |
| 2026-05-22 | 0.01 | $0.11 | -3.10% | -3.11% | -5.70% | -16.12% | -20.71% | -28.91% |
| 2026-05-11 | 0.01 | $0.11 | -1.22% | +0.08% | -3.25% | -9.18% | -24.70% | -37.46% |
| 2026-04-28 | 0.01 | $0.10 | +0.36% | +7.61% | +11.20% | +12.32% | +1.37% | -25.93% |
| 2026-04-22 | 0.01 | $0.10 | +0.50% | +3.46% | +4.35% | +20.66% | +10.82% | -24.25% |
| 2026-04-16 | 0.01 | $0.09 | +4.50% | -0.23% | +0.72% | +9.60% | +19.26% | -21.66% |
| 2026-04-14 | 0.01 | $0.09 | -1.11% | +5.44% | +1.18% | +5.14% | +19.65% | -22.78% |
| 2026-04-10 | 0.01 | $0.09 | +1.09% | -1.98% | +7.01% | +4.76% | +17.25% | -21.98% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-08-15: +30.74%
- 2026-01-01: +24.54%
- 2026-08-19: +22.02%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-10-09: -23.17%
- 2025-09-19: -19.75%
- 2026-01-29: -17.07%
How this study works
Each Binance funding rate is normalized to an eight-hour equivalent. An episode begins when that rate is at or above 0.01%. Consecutive qualifying funding intervals are grouped, and returns begin from the exact UTC date of the first qualifying interval.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.