Transparent historical data
What Happens to Dogecoin After Funding Falls to -0.01%?
Dogecoin has recorded 22 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -2.13% and 36.4% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Binance USDⓈ-M Futures and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 90-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -44.0% to -36.1% | 3 |
| -36.1% to -28.3% | 3 |
| -28.3% to -20.4% | 3 |
| -20.4% to -12.5% | 2 |
| -12.5% to -4.6% | 3 |
| -4.6% to +3.2% | 2 |
| +3.2% to +11.1% | 3 |
| +11.1% to +19.0% | 1 |
| +19.0% to +26.8% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 22 | -1.24% | -0.34% | 40.9% | 10.88% | -10.37% |
| 3 days | 22 | -1.02% | -1.11% | 45.5% | 10.50% | -18.07% |
| 7 days | 22 | -2.13% | -3.32% | 36.4% | 6.29% | -24.70% |
| 14 days | 22 | -4.31% | -4.01% | 36.4% | 11.74% | -20.30% |
| 30 days | 22 | -3.72% | -4.03% | 31.8% | 32.94% | -22.97% |
| 90 days | 21 | -18.21% | -14.37% | 23.8% | 26.84% | -43.99% |
Historical occurrences
22 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | -0.01 | $0.07 | +0.50% | +6.00% | +2.02% | -0.21% | +32.94% | — |
| 2026-04-02 | -0.01 | $0.09 | -1.82% | +0.17% | +0.20% | +2.86% | +17.47% | -22.04% |
| 2026-03-26 | -0.01 | $0.10 | -4.39% | -6.01% | -4.54% | -4.35% | +1.81% | -18.54% |
| 2026-03-23 | -0.01 | $0.09 | +3.72% | +6.04% | -0.87% | +2.09% | +4.35% | -8.32% |
| 2026-03-11 | -0.01 | $0.09 | -1.94% | +1.38% | +6.29% | +1.08% | -2.15% | -8.96% |
| 2026-03-06 | -0.01 | $0.09 | -2.21% | -4.24% | +1.31% | +0.36% | -1.59% | -2.85% |
| 2026-03-03 | -0.01 | $0.09 | -3.80% | -0.20% | -3.27% | +9.30% | -1.96% | +6.48% |
| 2026-02-28 | -0.01 | $0.09 | +0.57% | +0.03% | -2.38% | +2.06% | -3.96% | +5.64% |
| 2026-02-21 | -0.01 | $0.10 | -0.99% | -6.89% | -6.56% | -8.79% | -9.48% | +4.68% |
| 2026-02-10 | -0.01 | $0.10 | -3.57% | -2.54% | +5.44% | -2.57% | -3.48% | +16.86% |
| 2026-02-06 | -0.01 | $0.09 | +10.88% | +9.86% | +5.84% | +11.74% | +2.91% | +26.84% |
| 2026-02-03 | -0.01 | $0.11 | -2.09% | -18.07% | -11.02% | -6.19% | -8.18% | -0.08% |
| 2026-01-30 | -0.02 | $0.12 | -1.49% | -11.03% | -24.70% | -20.30% | -19.58% | -11.59% |
| 2026-01-26 | -0.01 | $0.12 | +2.40% | +4.73% | -12.57% | -18.71% | -22.97% | -18.21% |
| 2025-12-16 | -0.01 | $0.13 | +1.52% | -5.93% | +2.09% | -5.42% | +13.54% | -23.98% |
| 2025-12-06 | -0.01 | $0.14 | +0.15% | +2.20% | -1.87% | -5.27% | +7.44% | -32.63% |
| 2025-12-02 | -0.01 | $0.14 | +7.63% | +8.82% | +5.22% | -4.28% | -13.32% | -31.67% |
| 2025-11-18 | -0.01 | $0.15 | +6.44% | -1.84% | -0.06% | -10.76% | -16.88% | -32.23% |
| 2025-11-14 | -0.01 | $0.16 | -3.70% | -3.21% | -8.96% | -6.73% | -15.06% | -43.90% |
| 2025-11-03 | -0.01 | $0.19 | -10.37% | -10.33% | -4.03% | -15.02% | -21.78% | -43.99% |
| 2025-10-29 | -0.01 | $0.19 | -0.64% | -3.74% | -16.08% | -11.11% | -21.13% | -36.62% |
| 2025-10-11 | -0.02 | $0.19 | -4.33% | +10.50% | -4.61% | +2.08% | -7.62% | -26.71% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-03-11: +6.29%
- 2026-02-06: +5.84%
- 2026-02-10: +5.44%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-01-30: -24.70%
- 2025-10-29: -16.08%
- 2026-01-26: -12.57%
How this study works
Each Binance funding rate is normalized to an eight-hour equivalent. An episode begins when that rate is at or below -0.01%. Consecutive qualifying funding intervals are grouped, and returns begin from the exact UTC date of the first qualifying interval.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.