Transparent historical data
What Happens to Dogecoin After a 30% 30-Day Correction?
Dogecoin has recorded 3 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 3.48% and 66.7% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 3-day outcomes
Not enough completed data yet for a distribution chart.
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 3 | -2.78% | -6.49% | 0.0% | -1.89% | -14.81% |
| 3 days | 3 | -3.40% | -1.68% | 33.3% | 3.65% | -5.29% |
| 7 days | 3 | 3.48% | 0.17% | 66.7% | 8.80% | -11.76% |
| 14 days | 3 | -4.52% | -5.56% | 0.0% | -3.03% | -9.14% |
| 30 days | 3 | -11.69% | -11.46% | 0.0% | -9.16% | -13.53% |
| 90 days | 3 | -21.81% | -16.26% | 33.3% | 10.34% | -37.31% |
Historical occurrences
3 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | -31.42 | $0.10 | -14.81% | -5.29% | -11.76% | -4.52% | -11.69% | +10.34% |
| 2025-11-04 | -33.40 | $0.17 | -2.78% | -3.40% | +8.80% | -9.14% | -9.16% | -37.31% |
| 2025-10-17 | -30.20 | $0.19 | -1.89% | +3.65% | +3.48% | -3.03% | -13.53% | -21.81% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-11-04: +8.80%
- 2025-10-17: +3.48%
- 2026-02-05: -11.76%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-02-05: -11.76%
- 2025-10-17: +3.48%
- 2025-11-04: +8.80%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 30 day(s) falls to or below -30%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.