Transparent historical data
What Happens to Dogecoin After 3 Consecutive Red Days?
Dogecoin has recorded 28 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -1.50% and 39.3% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 14-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -16.2% to -12.4% | 4 |
| -12.4% to -8.6% | 4 |
| -8.6% to -4.8% | 4 |
| -4.8% to -1.0% | 5 |
| -1.0% to +2.8% | 5 |
| +2.8% to +6.6% | 2 |
| +6.6% to +10.4% | 1 |
| +10.4% to +14.2% | 1 |
| +14.2% to +18.0% | 2 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 29 | -0.75% | -0.43% | 37.9% | 11.95% | -9.96% |
| 3 days | 29 | -1.57% | 0.25% | 41.4% | 10.33% | -6.70% |
| 7 days | 28 | -1.50% | -0.82% | 39.3% | 34.30% | -15.24% |
| 14 days | 28 | -2.87% | -3.17% | 28.6% | 18.02% | -16.19% |
| 30 days | 28 | -6.74% | -7.98% | 28.6% | 21.15% | -30.56% |
| 90 days | 22 | -22.89% | -19.18% | 13.6% | 26.84% | -44.18% |
Historical occurrences
29 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | -4.31 | $0.09 | -3.81% | -1.57% | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-17 | -0.04 | $0.07 | +1.18% | +7.87% | +34.30% | +18.02% | +15.13% | — |
| 2026-08-06 | -0.05 | $0.07 | -1.38% | +0.56% | -0.53% | +7.16% | +21.15% | — |
| 2026-07-21 | -0.35 | $0.07 | +1.67% | -4.08% | -2.47% | -2.71% | +4.01% | — |
| 2026-07-14 | -1.06 | $0.07 | +3.46% | +0.58% | +0.25% | -2.23% | -3.20% | — |
| 2026-07-09 | -2.45 | $0.07 | +0.67% | +1.12% | +2.31% | +0.82% | -3.82% | — |
| 2026-06-26 | -1.68 | $0.07 | +1.13% | -2.35% | -0.98% | -2.65% | -4.21% | — |
| 2026-06-18 | -1.43 | $0.09 | -2.79% | -2.58% | -11.35% | -15.99% | -15.53% | -6.76% |
| 2026-06-05 | -3.10 | $0.09 | -7.92% | -2.57% | -2.83% | -5.69% | -12.31% | -7.66% |
| 2026-05-27 | -1.07 | $0.10 | -0.60% | -1.31% | -8.25% | -16.05% | -25.86% | -10.79% |
| 2026-05-18 | -0.41 | $0.11 | -3.87% | -4.88% | -6.13% | -7.90% | -20.02% | -36.12% |
| 2026-03-20 | -1.27 | $0.09 | -0.19% | -3.29% | -1.96% | -3.89% | +0.46% | -8.99% |
| 2026-03-08 | -0.73 | $0.09 | -1.36% | +3.88% | +6.08% | +0.40% | -0.60% | -10.72% |
| 2026-02-18 | -0.13 | $0.10 | -1.99% | -0.62% | -8.96% | -10.65% | -6.98% | +3.22% |
| 2026-02-11 | -3.57 | $0.09 | -1.10% | +4.95% | +9.19% | -0.59% | +2.55% | +19.71% |
| 2026-02-06 | -14.81 | $0.09 | +10.88% | +9.86% | +5.84% | +11.74% | +2.91% | +26.84% |
| 2026-01-31 | -1.49 | $0.12 | -9.96% | -6.70% | -15.24% | -15.98% | -20.17% | -8.19% |
| 2026-01-17 | -1.29 | $0.14 | -0.44% | -6.61% | -9.39% | -16.19% | -25.64% | -28.29% |
| 2026-01-09 | -2.95 | $0.14 | -0.75% | -2.66% | -1.23% | -11.93% | -30.56% | -34.83% |
| 2025-12-26 | -3.84 | $0.12 | -1.25% | +0.19% | +2.62% | +14.90% | +1.70% | -21.71% |
| 2025-12-13 | -2.49 | $0.14 | +1.58% | -5.25% | -3.46% | -10.88% | +0.95% | -30.44% |
| 2025-11-30 | -1.21 | $0.15 | -1.48% | -1.73% | -5.86% | -6.30% | -17.34% | -36.56% |
| 2025-11-22 | -5.95 | $0.14 | +0.05% | +8.26% | +7.18% | -0.47% | -6.50% | -29.32% |
| 2025-11-14 | -3.72 | $0.16 | -3.70% | -3.21% | -8.96% | -6.73% | -15.06% | -43.90% |
| 2025-11-05 | -2.78 | $0.16 | +2.91% | +10.17% | +5.92% | -0.52% | -9.25% | -33.39% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-08-17: +34.30%
- 2026-02-11: +9.19%
- 2025-11-22: +7.18%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-01-31: -15.24%
- 2025-10-30: -13.08%
- 2026-06-18: -11.35%
How this study works
An occurrence is recorded once when the daily reference price has declined for 3 consecutive UTC days. Longer uninterrupted streaks do not create duplicate occurrences.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.