Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After 3 Consecutive Red Days
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after 3 consecutive red days, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Dogecoin
29 historical signal(s) detected for Dogecoin; 25 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (4 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
1 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-24 | 2025-10-01 | $0.2373 | $0.2331 | -1.76% | 98.24 |
| 2025-10-12 | 2025-10-19 | $0.1853 | $0.1896 | +2.29% | 100.49 |
| 2025-10-30 | 2025-11-06 | $0.1924 | $0.1672 | -13.08% | 87.34 |
| 2025-11-14 | 2025-11-21 | $0.1637 | $0.1491 | -8.96% | 79.52 |
| 2025-11-22 | 2025-11-29 | $0.1402 | $0.1503 | +7.18% | 85.23 |
| 2025-11-30 | 2025-12-07 | $0.1484 | $0.1397 | -5.86% | 80.23 |
| 2025-12-13 | 2025-12-20 | $0.1369 | $0.1322 | -3.46% | 77.46 |
| 2025-12-26 | 2026-01-02 | $0.1236 | $0.1268 | +2.62% | 79.49 |
| 2026-01-09 | 2026-01-16 | $0.1420 | $0.1402 | -1.23% | 78.51 |
| 2026-01-17 | 2026-01-24 | $0.1384 | $0.1254 | -9.39% | 71.14 |
| 2026-01-31 | 2026-02-07 | $0.1160 | $0.0983 | -15.24% | 60.30 |
| 2026-02-11 | 2026-02-18 | $0.0929 | $0.1014 | +9.19% | 65.84 |
| 2026-02-18 | 2026-02-25 | $0.1014 | $0.0923 | -8.96% | 59.94 |
| 2026-03-08 | 2026-03-15 | $0.0913 | $0.0968 | +6.08% | 63.58 |
| 2026-03-20 | 2026-03-27 | $0.0943 | $0.0925 | -1.96% | 62.34 |
| 2026-05-18 | 2026-05-25 | $0.1089 | $0.1022 | -6.13% | 58.52 |
| 2026-05-27 | 2026-06-03 | $0.1009 | $0.0926 | -8.25% | 53.69 |
| 2026-06-05 | 2026-06-12 | $0.0885 | $0.0860 | -2.83% | 52.17 |
| 2026-06-18 | 2026-06-25 | $0.0859 | $0.0761 | -11.35% | 46.25 |
| 2026-06-26 | 2026-07-03 | $0.0748 | $0.0741 | -0.98% | 45.80 |
| 2026-07-09 | 2026-07-16 | $0.0724 | $0.0740 | +2.31% | 46.86 |
| 2026-07-21 | 2026-07-28 | $0.0721 | $0.0703 | -2.47% | 45.70 |
| 2026-08-06 | 2026-08-13 | $0.0700 | $0.0696 | -0.53% | 45.46 |
| 2026-08-17 | 2026-08-24 | $0.0695 | $0.0934 | +34.30% | 61.05 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Dogecoin · Read the full methodology